trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +1.4% | -8.3% | 50% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤30d | 7 | +0.4% | -9.2% | 43% | 0% | -10.0% |
| ≤90d | 7 | +0.4% | -9.2% | 43% | 0% | -10.0% |
| all | 27 | -6.4% | -15.3% | 56% | 4% | -10.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -15.3% | 4% | -10.9% |
| 10% | -23.4% | 4% | -19.4% |
| 15% | -30.8% | 4% | -27.2% |
| 20% | -37.6% | 0% | -34.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 95¢ | 95¢ | $38 | $38 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | Jun 18 | $3 | $0 | +3% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 17 | $42 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran leadership change by May 31? | May 26 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | May 26 | $36 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by Ma | May 26 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 26 | $36 | +$3 | +8% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 25 | $57 | −$3 | -6% |
| Will Bobby Kotick buy TikTok? | Jun 26 | $5 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026? | Jun 25 | $5 | −$1 | -17% |
| Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League? | Jun 01 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Will Switzerland win the 2025 IIHF World Championship? | May 23 | $5 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Alexander Zverev win the 2025 French Open? | May 23 | $4 | $0 | -10% |
| Will Trump deport 2,000,000 or more people? | May 22 | $23 | $0 | -1% |
| Will STAN win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election? | May 21 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Dan win all the Bucharest sectors? | May 21 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon tweet 275–299 times May 16–23? | May 20 | $23 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election? | May 20 | $22 | $0 | +1% |
| Will John-Ion Banu-Muscel advance to the Romanian Presidential Electio | May 07 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | Apr 27 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Rangers win the UEFA Europa League? | Apr 03 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election? | Apr 02 | $26 | −$1 | -4% |
| Sisi out as President of Egypt by March 31? | Mar 30 | $26 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump's approval rating be between 48.0% and 48.4% on March 28? | Mar 30 | $36 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Trae Young lead the NBA in Assists? | Mar 24 | $26 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 China Grand Prix? | Mar 24 | $24 | +$1 | +3% |
| Robert Morris vs. Alabama | Mar 22 | $24 | +$1 | +4% |
| South Alabama vs. Southern Mississippi | Mar 20 | $17 | +$7 | +41% |