trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | -41.0% | -46.6% | 30% | 30% | -41.6% |
| ≤30d | 13 | -54.6% | -59.0% | 23% | 23% | -59.2% |
| ≤90d | 37 | -17.8% | -25.7% | 46% | 46% | -28.1% |
| all | 44 | -8.7% | -17.4% | 52% | 50% | -19.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -17.4% | 50% | -19.5% |
| 10% | -25.3% | 41% | -27.2% |
| 15% | -32.5% | 32% | -34.3% |
| 20% | -39.1% | 18% | -40.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $20 | $21 | +$1 (+4%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 16¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 16¢ | $10 | $9 | −$0 (-5%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 11¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 10¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-9%) |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 7¢ | $5 | $4 | −$1 (-22%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 | Jun 14 | $5 | +$5 | +105% |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5 | Jun 14 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 | Jun 13 | $5 | +$7 | +143% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $21 | −$1 | -5% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $5 | +$2 | +42% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 09 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 22 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 20 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Spread: Knicks (-7.5) | May 19 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers | May 15 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | May 13 | $5 | +$1 | +20% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5 | May 13 | $5 | +$3 | +57% |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | May 12 | $10 | −$2 | -17% |
| Spread: Thunder (-8.5) | May 10 | $5 | +$5 | +97% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 09 | $10 | +$4 | +42% |
| LeBron James: Points O/U 21.5 | May 09 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | May 06 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Apr 27 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Credit One Charleston Open: Eva Lys vs Katie Volynets | Apr 27 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Apr 25 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Rockets vs. Timberwolves | Apr 25 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Magic | Apr 25 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Heat vs. Cavaliers | Apr 25 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Apr 25 | $5 | +$17 | +343% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Apr 23 | $5 | +$9 | +172% |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | Apr 20 | $5 | +$1 | +29% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Apr 20 | $5 | +$2 | +42% |
| Lakers vs. Pacers | Mar 26 | $5 | +$1 | +20% |
| Bulls vs. 76ers | Mar 26 | $5 | +$2 | +45% |
| Celtics vs. Grizzlies | Mar 21 | $5 | +$1 | +16% |
| Hawks vs. Rockets | Mar 21 | $5 | +$2 | +32% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Mar 19 | $5 | +$2 | +41% |
| Dota 2: 1win vs Team Lynx (BO3) - CCT Playoffs | Mar 19 | $5 | +$2 | +32% |
| Warriors vs. Knicks | Mar 16 | $10 | +$2 | +18% |
| Nuggets vs. Thunder | Mar 11 | $5 | +$2 | +41% |
| Suns vs. Bucks | Mar 11 | $5 | +$3 | +52% |
| Mavericks vs. Raptors | Mar 09 | $5 | +$1 | +25% |
| Knicks vs. Lakers | Mar 09 | $5 | +$7 | +139% |
| Antalya 2: Anhelina Kalinina vs Panna Udvardy | Mar 06 | $5 | $0 | -3% |
| Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs 9z (BO3) - Circuit X Pantanal Cuiabá Group B | Mar 05 | $5 | $0 | +5% |