Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:33:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E8
0xe8e6…aa6c
crypto · 1372 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$562 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$562 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$10
Realized−$562
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses888 / 479
Open positions5
Markets (closed)1367 / 1372
Avg bet$7
Trades / day214.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 5 History 1367 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$38
7 days−$352
14 days−$562
30 days−$562
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C or higher on June 12? No 73¢ 100¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+37%)
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on June 13? No 73¢ 76¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+3%)
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on June 12? No 82¢ 82¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C or below on June 13? No 82¢ 69¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-15%)
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C or below on June 13? No 79¢ 64¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-19%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +22%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +46%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +48%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +38%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +55%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +34%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +42%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +50%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +52%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +62%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 88% −$476
weather 7% −$66
other 5% −$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $2 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $2 5m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $2 10m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $2 11m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $2 15m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 23m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $2 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $2 30m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $2 35m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $2 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $2 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $2 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $2 39m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $2 41m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $2 41m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 41m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 45m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $2 46m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $2 50m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $2 53m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $2 54m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $2 55m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $2 55m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $2 58m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +65%
net ROI/market (all)-13.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1240 -4.3% -13.4% 66% 65% -13.6%
≤30d 1367 -4.6% -13.7% 65% 65% -15.1%
≤90d 1367 -4.6% -13.7% 65% 65% -15.1%
all 1367 -4.6% -13.7% 65% 65% -15.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover214.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.7% 65% -15.1%
10% ← realistic here -22.0% 60% -23.3%
15% -29.5% 48% -30.7%
20% -36.4% 25% -37.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.10 · official $10.10 (match) · 3500 history records