Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:04:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E8
0xe8e5…2578
crypto · 276 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$42 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$60 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$60
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses151 / 125
Open positions0
Markets (closed)276 / 276
History coverage66d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day7.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 276 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$11
7 days+$8
14 days−$11
30 days−$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +67%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$60
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Down 36¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $4 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $3 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Up 88¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $4 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET SELL Up 90¢ $3 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Up 89¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET SELL Up 62¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-16.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 126 +1.6% -8.0% 57% 52% -5.5%
≤30d 252 -3.8% -12.9% 56% 51% -11.7%
≤90d 276 -7.2% -16.1% 55% 49% -19.8%
all 276 -7.2% -16.1% 55% 49% -19.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.1% 49% -19.8%
10% -24.1% 43% -27.5%
15% -31.4% 35% -34.5%
20% -38.2% 28% -40.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 613 history records