Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:17:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E8
0xe8da…ac54
crypto · 73 markets active 0h ago
3.0score
+$55 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$55 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$55
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses53 / 20
Open positions0
Markets (closed)73 / 73
History coverage148d
Avg bet$29
Trades / day0.9
Drawdown92%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 0 History 73 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$77
7 days+$77
14 days+$77
30 days+$77
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Seeker FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 29? Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Solana reach $160 in January? Yes 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Rainbow FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 30? Up 5¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $104 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $83 +$10 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $82 +$3 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $83 +$9 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $60 +$3 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $61 +$15 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $60 +$2 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $60 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $150 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $151 +$15 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $150 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $110 +$4 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $111 +$20 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $110 +$4 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $110 +$2 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $111 +$11 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $110 +$2 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $27 −$27 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$3 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$3 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$18 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $21 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $21 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$2 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$6 +92%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$3 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$4 +201%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +93%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$69
other 1% −$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $104 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $83 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $82 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $83 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $60 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $61 37m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $60 53m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $60 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $150 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $151 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $150 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $110 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $111 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $110 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $110 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $111 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $110 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $20 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $20 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $20 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-18.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 65 -1.9% -11.3% 80% 31% -6.1%
≤30d 65 -1.9% -11.3% 80% 31% -6.1%
≤90d 65 -1.9% -11.3% 80% 31% -6.1%
all 73 -9.5% -18.1% 73% 29% -7.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.1% 29% -7.2%
10% -26.0% 15% -16.0%
15% -33.1% 11% -24.2%
20% -39.7% 5% -31.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 186 history records