Wallet analysis

2026-06-22T15:45:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.0
score
E8 0xe8d5…048c crypto 337 markets active 0h ago coverage 51d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$36 (+0%) realized +$36 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -16% what you keep after slip
Net edge-16%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate94%316W / 21L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$95per market
Trades / day15.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$9
7 days−$2
14 days+$31
30 days+$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$30
finance 0% $0
politics 0% $0
economics 0% $0
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 37 -0.0% -9.6% 97% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 175 +0.1% -9.4% 96% 0% -9.5%
≤90d 337 +0.1% -9.4% 94% 0% -9.4%
all 337 +0.1% -9.4% 94% 0% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover15.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.4% 0% -9.4%
10% -18.1% 0% -18.1%
15% -26.0% 0% -26.0%
20% -33.3% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late +0% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$11 · ×0.08 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.13 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

51d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$36
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)94%
Wins / losses316 / 21
Open positions0
Markets (closed)337 / 337
History coverage51d
Avg bet$95
Trades / day15.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 337 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 22? Jun 22 $94 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 22? Jun 22 $94 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 22? Jun 22 $94 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 22? Jun 22 $94 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 22? Jun 22 $94 +$1 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 21? Jun 22 $94 +$1 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 15-21? Jun 22 $94 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 June 15-21? Jun 21 $94 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 21? Jun 21 $93 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 21? Jun 21 $94 +$1 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 20? Jun 21 $93 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 20? Jun 20 $97 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 20? Jun 20 $97 −$33 -34%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 20? Jun 20 $97 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 20? Jun 20 $96 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 19? Jun 20 $97 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 19? Jun 19 $96 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 19? Jun 19 $96 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 19? Jun 19 $96 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 19? Jun 19 $96 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 19? Jun 19 $96 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 18? Jun 18 $96 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 18? Jun 18 $96 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 18? Jun 18 $96 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 18? Jun 18 $95 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 18? Jun 18 $96 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 17? Jun 17 $95 +$2 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 17? Jun 17 $95 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17? Jun 17 $95 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 17? Jun 17 $95 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 17? Jun 17 $95 +$1 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on June 16? Jun 17 $95 +$1 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on June 16? Jun 17 $95 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 16? Jun 16 $95 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 16? Jun 16 $95 +$2 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 16? Jun 16 $94 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 15? Jun 15 $94 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 15? Jun 15 $94 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 15? Jun 15 $94 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 15? Jun 15 $94 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 15? Jun 15 $94 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 15? Jun 15 $94 +$1 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 June 8-14? Jun 15 $94 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 8-14? Jun 14 $94 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? Jun 14 $94 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? Jun 14 $94 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 14? Jun 14 $94 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 13? Jun 14 $94 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $93 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $94 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 22? SELL No 100¢ $95 4m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 22? SELL Yes 100¢ $95 17m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 22? BUY No 99¢ $94 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 22? BUY Yes 99¢ $94 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 22? SELL Yes 100¢ $95 3h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 22? SELL No 100¢ $94 6h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 22? SELL Yes 100¢ $94 7h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 22? BUY Yes 99¢ $94 8h
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 21? SELL No 100¢ $95 12h
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 21? BUY No 99¢ $94 14h
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 15-21? SELL No 100¢ $94 15h
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 June 15-21? SELL No 100¢ $94 17h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 22? BUY No 100¢ $94 21h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 22? BUY Yes 99¢ $94 23h
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 15-21? BUY No 99¢ $94 25h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 21? SELL Yes 100¢ $95 26h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 21? SELL No 100¢ $95 26h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 21? BUY No 99¢ $94 32h
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 June 15-21? BUY No 99¢ $94 34h
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 20? SELL No 100¢ $94 36h
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 20? BUY No 99¢ $93 37h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 21? BUY Yes 99¢ $93 37h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 20? SELL Yes 100¢ $97 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 20? SELL No 67¢ $64 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 20? BUY No 99¢ $97 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 20? SELL No 100¢ $97 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 20? SELL Yes 100¢ $97 2d
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 19? SELL No 100¢ $97 2d
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 19? BUY No 100¢ $97 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 20? BUY Yes 99¢ $96 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 781 history records