trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -0.9% | -10.4% | 50% | 0% | -8.9% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -2.2% | -11.6% | 40% | 0% | -9.0% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -2.2% | -11.6% | 40% | 0% | -9.0% |
| all | 5 | -2.2% | -11.6% | 40% | 0% | -9.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.6% | 0% | -9.0% |
| 10% | -20.0% | 0% | -17.7% |
| 15% | -27.7% | 0% | -25.6% |
| 20% | -34.8% | 0% | -32.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran successfully targets shipping by June 30? | Yes | 37¢ | 28¢ | $123 | $94 | −$29 (-23%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7? | Jun 26 | $141 | −$7 | -5% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | Jun 25 | $200 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? | Jun 22 | $160 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 22 | $3,764 | +$34 | +1% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | May 28 | $5 | $0 | -7% |