Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T14:36:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E8
0xe8cb…0110
crypto · 130 markets active 1h ago
4.0score
+$61 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$61 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$111
Realized+$61
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)94%
Wins / losses121 / 8
Open positions1
Markets (closed)129 / 130
History coverage626d
Avg bet$221
Trades / day0.3
Drawdown18%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 1 History 129 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$0
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 15? No 100¢ 100¢ $111 $111 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Solana dip to $50 in May? Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on June 2? Jun 13 $102 $0 +0%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in May? May 30 $6 +$1 +13%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 25? May 30 $193 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 7? May 24 $200 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86,000 on May 5? May 06 $210 $0 +0%
Will Tesla dip to $248 in April? May 04 $3 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 1840-1919 tweets in April 2026? May 04 $5 $0 +0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in April? May 04 $6 $0 +1%
Will Iran strike Poland by April 30, 2026? May 04 $7 $0 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 27? May 04 $188 $0 +0%
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30? Apr 26 $5 +$1 +30%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 19? Apr 20 $180 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,700 on April 16? Apr 19 $187 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $78,000 on April 13? Apr 15 $181 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 11? Apr 12 $187 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,500 on April 6? Apr 08 $195 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on April 3? Apr 05 $201 $0 +0%
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model for math on March 31? Apr 02 $4 $0 +1%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,300 (HIGH) in March 2026? Apr 02 $5 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 1? Apr 02 $197 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 30? Mar 31 $188 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 27? Mar 28 $190 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $78,000 on March 26? Mar 26 $194 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on March 24? Mar 25 $194 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on March 22? Mar 23 $194 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 16? Mar 21 $193 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on March 12? Mar 15 $197 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,400 on March 10? Mar 11 $197 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 7? Mar 09 $197 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $78,000 on March 4? Mar 07 $201 $0 +0%
Will Trump deport 1,000,000-1,250,000 people? Mar 03 $1 $0 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on March 1? Mar 03 $195 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 27? Feb 28 $197 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on February 26? Feb 27 $197 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 24? Feb 25 $192 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 22? Feb 23 $194 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 21? Feb 21 $196 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on February 18? Feb 19 $196 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on February 1 Feb 16 $192 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 13? Feb 14 $200 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 11? Feb 12 $197 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 9? Feb 10 $195 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on February 7 Feb 08 $191 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on February 5 Feb 05 $190 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on February 3? Feb 04 $192 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on February 1? Feb 01 $180 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in January? Feb 01 $3 $0 +2%
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on Jan 31 $7 +$1 +11%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 30? Jan 31 $180 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 60% +$39
crypto 39% +$21
other 0% −$1
tech 0% +$2
economics 0% +$1
world 0% +$3
sports 0% −$6
finance 0% +$1
culture 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 15? BUY No 100¢ $111 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on June 2? BUY No 100¢ $102 11d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 25? BUY No 100¢ $193 20d
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in May? BUY No 88¢ $6 26d
Will Solana dip to $50 in May? BUY No 99¢ $6 26d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 7? BUY No 100¢ $200 38d
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86,000 on May 5? BUY No 100¢ $210 39d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 27? BUY Yes 100¢ $188 47d
Will Tesla dip to $248 in April? BUY No 100¢ $3 52d
Will Elon Musk post 1840-1919 tweets in April 2026? BUY No 100¢ $5 52d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 19? BUY No 100¢ $180 55d
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,700 on April 16? BUY No 100¢ $187 59d
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $78,000 on April 13? BUY No 100¢ $181 62d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 11? BUY Yes 100¢ $187 64d
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30? BUY Yes 77¢ $5 66d
Will Iran strike Poland by April 30, 2026? BUY No 98¢ $7 66d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in April? BUY No 99¢ $6 66d
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,500 on April 6? BUY No 100¢ $195 69d
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on April 3? BUY No 100¢ $201 72d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 1? BUY No 100¢ $197 74d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 30? BUY No 100¢ $188 76d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 27? BUY Yes 100¢ $190 78d
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $78,000 on March 26? BUY No 100¢ $194 79d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on March 24? BUY No 100¢ $194 81d
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,300 (HIGH) in March 2026? BUY No 99¢ $5 83d
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model for math on March 31? BUY No 99¢ $4 83d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on March 22? BUY No 100¢ $194 84d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 16? BUY No 100¢ $193 90d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on March 12? BUY No 100¢ $197 93d
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,400 on March 10? BUY No 100¢ $197 96d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-7.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 +0.4% -9.1% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤30d 5 +2.8% -7.0% 100% 20% -9.3%
≤90d 27 +1.9% -7.8% 100% 7% -9.4%
all 129 +2.5% -7.3% 94% 23% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.3% 23% -9.3%
10% -16.1% 11% -18.0%
15% -24.2% 5% -25.9%
20% -31.7% 4% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $111.07 · official $111.07 (match) · 326 history records