Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:40:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E8
0xe8c9…3616
sports · 401 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$818 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$852 · open +$34
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$181
Realized−$852
Unrealized+$34
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses222 / 176
Est. fees paid−$376
Open positions3
Markets (closed)398 / 401
History coverage55d
Avg bet$84
Trades / day25.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 398 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$15
7 days+$24
14 days+$17
30 days−$1,311
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Gen.G 80¢ 100¢ $97 $121 +$24 (+25%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Gen.G 78¢ 100¢ $37 $48 +$11 (+28%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Bilibili Gaming 86¢ 84¢ $12 $12 −$0 (-3%)
LoL: Ultra Prime vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winner Oh My God 55¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner BetBoom Team 56¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Dplus KIA 43¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage MOUZ 50¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner Aurora 44¢ 0¢ $64 $0 −$64 (-100%)
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage PARIVISION 71¢ 0¢ $116 $0 −$116 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner GamerLegion 35¢ 0¢ $77 $0 −$77 (-100%)
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Heroic - Game 1 Winner Heroic 52¢ 0¢ $78 $0 −$78 (-100%)
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner PARIVISION 57¢ 0¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Team Yandex 66¢ 0¢ $141 $0 −$141 (-100%)
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner Karmine Corp 80¢ 0¢ $110 $0 −$110 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner KT Rolster 42¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 3 Winner Team Secret Whales 63¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage BetBoom Team 54¢ 0¢ $116 $0 −$116 (-100%)
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Heroic - Game 1 Winner GamerLegion 49¢ 0¢ $86 $0 −$86 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage PARIVISION 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner Dplus KIA 38¢ 0¢ $341 $0 −$341 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner Team Yandex 63¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 4 Winner Natus Vincere 24¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Anyones Legend 71¢ 0¢ $376 $0 −$376 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner Team Falcons 49¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 4 Winner EDward Gaming 43¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $49 −$15 -31%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $19 −$12 -64%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $38 +$35 +92%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $125 +$62 +49%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $23 −$23 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $44 −$43 -98%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $58 +$31 +55%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $78 +$79 +101%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $55 +$21 +38%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $16 +$15 +97%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $32 −$32 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $51 −$51 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $30 −$30 -98%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $26 +$11 +44%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $113 +$66 +58%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $17 +$26 +150%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $49 +$109 +223%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $17 −$17 -98%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $3 −$3 -98%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $68 −$68 -100%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $97 −$97 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $13 −$13 -98%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $22 +$13 +56%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $11 −$11 -98%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $100 +$49 +49%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $55 +$24 +43%
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $11 +$13 +124%
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $19 +$18 +92%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $24 −$24 -99%
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $19 −$18 -98%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $40 −$40 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $19 −$19 -99%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $10 −$10 -98%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $42 +$41 +99%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $35 +$30 +85%
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports - Game 3 Winner Jun 05 $31 +$19 +60%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 05 $47 +$15 +32%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $12 +$7 +57%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $36 +$14 +38%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $92 −$90 -99%
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $37 +$25 +67%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $53 +$13 +24%
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $24 −$24 -98%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $51 −$50 -98%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner Jun 04 $71 +$32 +45%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 04 $84 +$64 +75%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner Jun 04 $65 −$64 -99%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner Jun 04 $37 −$37 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$818
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 86¢ $12 15m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 78¢ $38 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 80¢ $4 2h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 80¢ $42 2h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 80¢ $1 2h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 80¢ $3 2h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 80¢ $8 2h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 80¢ $24 2h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 80¢ $15 2h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY KT Rolster 33¢ $12 3h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY KT Rolster 33¢ $5 3h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY KT Rolster 33¢ $3 3h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY KT Rolster 33¢ $2 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 46¢ $31 22h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 52¢ $14 22h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 52¢ $4 22h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 46¢ $3 24h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 50¢ $16 24h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 52¢ $0 25h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 52¢ $22 25h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 52¢ $0 25h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 52¢ $11 25h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 52¢ $1 25h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 52¢ $0 25h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 52¢ $1 25h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 52¢ $4 25h
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Anyones Legend 10¢ $2 4d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Anyones Legend 22¢ $5 4d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Anyones Legend 22¢ $2 4d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Anyones Legend 22¢ $6 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 34 -15.4% -23.5% 44% 44% -7.9%
≤30d 225 +0.4% -9.2% 56% 56% -16.8%
≤90d 398 -0.4% -9.8% 56% 56% -11.8%
all 398 -0.4% -9.8% 56% 56% -11.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover25.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.8% 56% -11.8%
10% ← realistic here -18.5% 52% -20.3%
15% -26.3% 44% -28.0%
20% -33.6% 34% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $180.60 · official $180.60 (match) · 1689 history records