trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 11 | -18.4% | -26.2% | 45% | 36% | -20.5% |
| ≤30d | 19 | -14.2% | -22.4% | 42% | 26% | -21.1% |
| ≤90d | 22 | -7.7% | -16.5% | 45% | 32% | -16.5% |
| all | 22 | -7.7% | -16.5% | 45% | 32% | -16.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -16.5% | 32% | -16.5% |
| 10% | -24.5% | 27% | -24.5% |
| 15% | -31.8% | 27% | -31.8% |
| 20% | -38.4% | 18% | -38.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 34¢ | 80¢ | $491 | $1,133 | +$642 (+131%) |
| Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw? | Yes | 23¢ | 22¢ | $25 | $24 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 22 | $51 | −$34 | -67% |
| Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 22 | $51 | +$53 | +105% |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombi | Jun 21 | $196 | +$311 | +159% |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombi | Jun 21 | $102 | −$102 | -100% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $781 | −$778 | -100% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $697 | +$84 | +12% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $487 | +$193 | +40% |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election | Jun 18 | $84 | −$83 | -98% |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election | Jun 18 | $52 | −$37 | -71% |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential ele | Jun 17 | $633 | +$21 | +3% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$9 | -86% |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election | Jun 12 | $103 | +$234 | +227% |
| Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election | Jun 09 | $89 | −$69 | -78% |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect | Jun 09 | $206 | −$151 | -73% |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election | Jun 08 | $303 | −$214 | -71% |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian | May 31 | $289 | +$13 | +4% |
| Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presid | May 31 | $505 | −$431 | -85% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | May 31 | $1,860 | −$20 | -1% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | May 27 | $816 | +$81 | +10% |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first roun | May 18 | $299 | +$243 | +81% |
| Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 20 | Apr 15 | $190 | +$91 | +48% |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of | Apr 15 | $11 | −$3 | -29% |