trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 3 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 29 | -23.3% | -30.6% | 31% | 10% | -15.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -30.6% | 10% | -15.7% |
| 10% | -37.2% | 10% | -23.7% |
| 15% | -43.3% | 10% | -31.1% |
| 20% | -48.8% | 10% | -37.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $997 | $996 | −$1 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 24 | $400 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 24 | $600 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 23 | $1,000 | −$2 | -0% |
| Clippers vs. Mavericks | Nov 14 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Stars vs. Senators | Nov 12 | $10 | +$11 | +113% |
| Spread: BAL (-4.5) | Sep 22 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Blue Jays vs. Rays | Sep 16 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Buccaneers vs. Texans | Sep 16 | $5 | +$6 | +127% |
| Will Scott Stringer win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Jul 28 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Jul 28 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Zellnor Myrie win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Jul 17 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Krzysztof Stanowski be the next President of Poland? | Jul 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will XRP reach $4.0 in June? | Jul 15 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the Western Conference? | May 19 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in May? | May 19 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 'How to Train Your Dragon' have the best domestic opening weekend | May 16 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 World Series? | May 12 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Esteban Ocon be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | May 08 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series? | May 06 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025? | May 05 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 30 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Hong Joon-pyo be elected the next president of South Korea? | Apr 27 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 27 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Canucks vs. Canadiens | Jan 08 | $124 | −$124 | -100% |
| Predators vs. Canucks | Jan 05 | $102 | −$102 | -100% |
| Will Liverpool lead the EPL in points at midway point? | Jan 03 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Notre Dame vs. Georgia | Jan 03 | $113 | +$100 | +89% |
| Who will speak more at VP Debate? | Oct 02 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |
| 草莓软糖是男人还是女人 (man or woman)? | Oct 01 | $19 | −$1 | -4% |