Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T21:52:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E8 0xe89f…087b crypto 91 markets active 5d ago coverage 4d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$130 (-29%) realized −$130 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -19% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -37% what you keep after slip
Net edge-37%after slip
Net WR35%break-even
Win rate36%33W / 58L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day48.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 4d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$150
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-26.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 76 -10.6% -19.1% 41% 39% -26.8%
≤30d 91 -18.7% -26.4% 36% 35% -39.9%
≤90d 91 -18.7% -26.4% 36% 35% -39.9%
all 91 -18.7% -26.4% 36% 35% -39.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover48.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -26.4% 35% -39.9%
10% ← realistic here -33.5% 35% -45.7%
15% -39.9% 35% -50.9%
20% -45.8% 35% -55.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 16% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -34% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
3% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -19% · $-wt -34% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +8% → late -45% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$5 · ×0.76 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.43 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

4d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$130
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses33 / 58
Open positions0
Markets (closed)91 / 91
History coverage4d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day48.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 91 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down on June 12? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $9 −$1 -9%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$6 +296%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$5 +218%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +152%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +146%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +114%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +105%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +93%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$8 +86%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$7 +105%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $8 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $2 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $2 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $2 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $2 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 20¢ $5 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 21¢ $5 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $6 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 5d
Ethereum Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 21¢ $5 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $2 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 288 history records