Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:07:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E8
0xe89b…3262
sports · 51 markets active 1h ago
8.5score
+$34 +26%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$34 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized+$34
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses28 / 18
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions4
Markets (closed)46 / 51
History coverage111d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day0.8
Drawdown15%
Kalshi-fit71%
Chart Positions 4 History 46 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days+$4
14 days+$9
30 days+$18
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 63¢ 62¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Vitality 76¢ 76¢ $2 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 59¢ 57¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 71¢ 46¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-36%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Astralis 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner B8 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Astralis 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Spirit 57¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 59¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Astralis 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Jun 12 $3 −$2 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $3 +$1 +39%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $4 −$4 -99%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $2 $0 -32%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1 +$1 +118%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $3 +$1 +40%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $3 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $3 +$2 +66%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $4 +$3 +76%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $3 +$1 +36%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $1 +$1 +83%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $3 +$1 +34%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $1 +$1 +83%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $2 +$1 +55%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $3 +$3 +132%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $2 +$1 +50%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $2 −$1 -99%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 06 $2 +$1 +61%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $2 +$1 +73%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $2 +$1 +40%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $2 +$1 +36%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $2 −$2 -99%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 06 $3 +$1 +34%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $2 +$1 +46%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $2 +$1 +58%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 06 $2 +$2 +89%
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 30 $11 +$9 +83%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $4 −$4 -98%
Will Crystal Palace win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League? May 27 $2 +$1 +53%
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27? May 27 $2 +$2 +111%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20? May 21 $3 +$2 +65%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $5 +$3 +64%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14? May 09 $3 −$2 -64%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04? May 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02? May 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03? May 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-05-03? May 03 $11 +$20 +180%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04? Mar 14 $1 +$1 +70%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? Feb 28 $1 $0 -0%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28? Feb 28 $2 +$1 +63%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 62% +$11
other 36% +$22
world 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 76¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 59¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Natus Vincere 71¢ $2 1h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 57¢ $3 16h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Natus Vincere 100¢ $4 16h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 48¢ $2 17h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? AND BUY 35¢ $2 18h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 73¢ $1 19h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 38¢ $1 19h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 68¢ $3 19h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Monte 100¢ $3 19h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 70¢ $2 22h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 54¢ $2 22h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 45¢ $1 22h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 99¢ $4 37h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 17¢ $1 38h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Vitality 100¢ $4 43h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Vitality 57¢ $1 45h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Vitality 61¢ $2 45h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 54¢ $1 46h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S BUY TheMongolz 54¢ $1 2d
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 35¢ $2 2d
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $5 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $3 2d
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 SELL B8 100¢ $7 3d
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY B8 57¢ $2 3d
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner BUY B8 47¢ $1 3d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY Monte 54¢ $1 4d
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY B8 55¢ $2 4d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY Legacy 73¢ $3 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +61%
net ROI/market (all)-2.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 32 +3.6% -6.3% 62% 62% -4.0%
≤30d 38 +10.3% -0.2% 66% 66% +7.9%
≤90d 43 +4.8% -5.2% 60% 60% +16.5%
all 46 +7.4% -2.8% 61% 61% +17.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -2.8% 61% +17.0%
10% -12.1% 61% +5.8%
15% -20.6% 57% -4.4%
20% -28.4% 41% -13.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.22 · official $11.72 · 98 history records