trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 10% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 20 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 10% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.2% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -26.1% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 27 | $390 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 24 | $249 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? | May 30 | $125 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 19 | $125 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Germany win Eurovision 2026? | May 13 | $125 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 07 | $125 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee | May 03 | $126 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election? | Apr 18 | $127 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election? | Apr 17 | $127 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 30 | $254 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 m | Mar 21 | $254 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 17 | $254 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Mar 12 | $256 | −$2 | -1% |
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 08 | $256 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Feb 24 | $502 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 m | Feb 06 | $255 | +$2 | +1% |
| Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Jan 03 | $244 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jan 03 | $246 | $0 | -0% |
| Will PSV win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Jan 02 | $242 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31? | Dec 30 | $250 | $0 | -0% |