Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:41:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E8
0xe898…de99
crypto · 312 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$18 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$18 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$18
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses147 / 165
Open positions0
Markets (closed)312 / 312
History coverage4d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day91.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 312 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$15
7 days−$18
14 days−$18
30 days−$18
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Down 53¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Down 46¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Down 45¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Down 54¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Down 48¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 47¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Down 45¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Down 53¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Down 52¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 42¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Up 52¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Down 49¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Down 38¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 50¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Down 61¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Down 53¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Down 52¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Down 62¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Down 48¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 41¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Down 37¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 44¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 43¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 45¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 53¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +140%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +110%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +83%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +93%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +119%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +93%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +105%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +76%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +90%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +110%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +83%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +146%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +79%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +65%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +101%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +83%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +101%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +119%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +146%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$18
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-13.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 312 -4.0% -13.1% 47% 44% -13.5%
≤30d 312 -4.0% -13.1% 47% 44% -13.5%
≤90d 312 -4.0% -13.1% 47% 44% -13.5%
all 312 -4.0% -13.1% 47% 44% -13.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover91.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.1% 44% -13.5%
10% ← realistic here -21.4% 39% -21.8%
15% -29.0% 37% -29.3%
20% -36.0% 35% -36.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 541 history records