Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:53:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E8
0xe891…e3dd
sports · 482 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,750 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,868 · open +$118
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,032
Realized−$1,868
Unrealized+$118
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses261 / 217
Whale WR (big bets)54%
Est. fees paid−$427
Open positions4
Markets (closed)478 / 482
History coverage58d
Avg bet$101
Trades / day53.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 4 History 478 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$111
7 days+$40
14 days+$553
30 days−$222
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Gen.G 88¢ 100¢ $900 $1,022 +$122 (+14%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Team WE 83¢ 43¢ $10 $5 −$5 (-48%)
Will Hanwha Life Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? Yes 18¢ 19¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+6%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Team WE 14¢ 20¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+46%)
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner Nongshim Red Force 52¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs JD Gaming 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Kim Jin-tae win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 2 Winner Vivo Keyd Stars 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Bilibili Gaming 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner Ninjas in Pyjamas 95¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Hanwha Life Esports 76¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $76 −$8 -11%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $110 −$3 -3%
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) Jun 13 $10 −$6 -56%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $31 −$20 -64%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $43 +$11 +26%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $964 +$87 +9%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $243 +$10 +4%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $10 $0 +5%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $920 +$44 +5%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $509 −$241 -47%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $10 +$2 +17%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $100 +$3 +3%
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 Win Jun 11 $24 +$9 +38%
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 1 Win Jun 11 $3 +$2 +67%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $100 +$11 +11%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - Asia Mas Jun 11 $701 +$30 +4%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $201 +$22 +11%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $15 +$5 +36%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $12 +$2 +20%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $3 +$1 +20%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters G Jun 10 $3 $0 +2%
LoL: FENNEL vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - Asia Masters Group B Jun 10 $200 +$6 +3%
LoL: FENNEL vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $300 +$6 +2%
LoL: FENNEL vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $200 +$8 +4%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $3 +$2 +62%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Weibo Gaming Youth Team - Game 2 Winn Jun 09 $260 +$5 +2%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Weibo Gaming Youth Team - Game 1 Winn Jun 09 $50 +$5 +10%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $100 +$7 +7%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs T1 Academy (BO3) - Asia Masters Group B Jun 09 $501 +$36 +7%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $505 −$6 -1%
Will Dplus win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? Jun 09 $3 −$2 -71%
Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? Jun 09 $3 −$1 -17%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Top Esports Challenger - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $100 +$10 +10%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Top Esports Challenger (BO3) - Asia Mast Jun 09 $200 +$11 +5%
LoL: FN Esports vs Verdant (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage Jun 09 $269 −$13 -5%
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $5 −$5 -98%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $25 +$4 +18%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $5 +$4 +79%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 06 $1 −$1 -98%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $5 −$5 -99%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 06 $906 +$227 +25%
Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial Jun 04 $100 +$8 +8%
Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election? Jun 04 $101 +$16 +16%
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Jun 03 $301 −$250 -83%
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election? Jun 03 $122 +$42 +35%
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election? Jun 03 $630 +$476 +76%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 16 $39 −$39 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET May 16 $5 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET May 16 $5 −$5 -94%
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend May 16 $83 −$9 -10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 86% −$1,931
crypto 10% −$131
politics 3% +$299
other 0% +$6
world 0% +$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Team WE 87¢ $5 2m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Team WE 80¢ $5 3m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Team WE 65¢ $2 6m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Team WE 66¢ $2 7m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Team WE 38¢ $2 9m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Team WE 19¢ $3 10m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Team WE 50¢ $1 17m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Team WE 49¢ $1 19m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 14¢ $3 35m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 3¢ $0 56m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 51¢ $3 58m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 19¢ $1 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 44¢ $2 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Team WE 39¢ $2 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 47¢ $3 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Team WE 39¢ $4 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 26¢ $3 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 76¢ $58 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Team WE 14¢ $1 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 66¢ $2 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 68¢ $10 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 21¢ $2 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 84¢ $50 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 100¢ $83 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL KT Rolster 17¢ $2 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 34¢ $4 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 90¢ $75 2h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL KT Rolster 21¢ $22 2h
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) SELL KT Rolster 24¢ $4 2h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner SELL KT Rolster 11¢ $11 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-11.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 38 +2.9% -6.9% 74% 32% -9.0%
≤30d 75 +9.0% -1.4% 47% 23% -11.7%
≤90d 478 -1.6% -11.0% 55% 35% -13.1%
all 478 -1.6% -11.0% 55% 35% -13.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover53.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.0% 35% -13.1%
10% ← realistic here -19.5% 20% -21.4%
15% -27.3% 13% -29.0%
20% -34.4% 7% -36.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,031.89 · official $1,031.89 (match) · 3292 history records