trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET | Jun 13 | $26 | +$17 | +65% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | May 05 | $6 | −$6 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | May 05 | $6 | −$6 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | May 05 | $7 | −$6 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET | May 05 | $10 | −$10 | -96% |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | May 05 | $43 | −$13 | -30% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | May 05 | $5 | −$5 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | May 05 | $6 | −$6 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET | May 05 | $7 | −$7 | -95% |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | May 05 | $28 | −$10 | -36% |
| 2025 June hottest on record? | Jun 25 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | Jun 25 | $3 | $0 | +8% |
| Another US military action against Iran by June 30? | Jun 24 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | Jun 24 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Pedri win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | Jun 24 | $3 | −$1 | -28% |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? | Jun 17 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +64.8% | +49.1% | 100% | 100% | +49.1% |
| ≤30d | 1 | +64.8% | +49.1% | 100% | 100% | +49.1% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -70.1% | -73.0% | 10% | 10% | -42.6% |
| all | 16 | -63.8% | -67.2% | 19% | 6% | -47.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -67.2% | 6% | -47.1% |
| 10% | -70.4% | 6% | -52.2% |
| 15% | -73.2% | 6% | -56.8% |
| 20% | -75.8% | 6% | -61.0% |