trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +1.5% | -8.2% | 50% | 25% | -8.9% |
| ≤30d | 5 | +2.6% | -7.2% | 60% | 20% | -8.4% |
| ≤90d | 15 | +1.6% | -8.1% | 53% | 7% | -9.9% |
| all | 30 | -9.1% | -17.7% | 50% | 20% | -10.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -17.7% | 20% | -10.4% |
| 10% | -25.6% | 13% | -19.0% |
| 15% | -32.8% | 7% | -26.8% |
| 20% | -39.4% | 7% | -34.0% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 17 | $2 | $0 | +23% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 13 | $164 | +$3 | +2% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | Jun 11 | $29 | −$1 | -4% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 10 | $3 | $0 | -14% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 08 | $18 | +$1 | +7% |
| Will France win Eurovision 2026? | Apr 26 | $26 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the | Apr 24 | $232 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first roun | Apr 22 | $354 | −$14 | -4% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | Apr 21 | $94 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | Apr 19 | $160 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 11 | $258 | $0 | +0% |
| Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30? | Apr 11 | $10 | +$1 | +6% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Apr 10 | $7 | +$1 | +9% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | Apr 10 | $286 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 10 | $285 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 26 | $1 | $0 | -11% |
| Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 07 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election? | May 07 | $19 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will George Simion win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election? | May 07 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. Thunder | Mar 03 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will Billy Donovan make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall | Feb 24 | $5 | +$1 | +26% |
| Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 5-10%? | Feb 18 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Georgescu banned from Romania election? | Feb 17 | $8 | −$3 | -34% |
| Memphis vs. South Florida | Feb 14 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Clippers vs. Jazz | Feb 14 | $6 | +$1 | +20% |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 36-37°F on February 12? | Feb 14 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. Jackson State | Feb 12 | $5 | +$2 | +52% |
| Will Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" during Fox News Oval Office interview? | Feb 02 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 4? | Feb 02 | $12 | +$2 | +16% |
| Blue Jackets vs. Penguins | Jan 08 | $5 | +$7 | +133% |