Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:10:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E8
0xe872…819a
sports · 666 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$95,286 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$90,542 · open −$4,744
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,545
Realized−$90,542
Unrealized−$4,744
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses263 / 400
Whale WR (big bets)49%
Est. fees paid−$11,503
Open positions4
Markets (closed)663 / 666
History coverage44d
Avg bet$1,130
Trades / day35.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 4 History 663 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$18,336
7 days−$54,331
14 days−$45,555
30 days−$83,618
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 82¢ 74¢ $2,581 $2,345 −$236 (-9%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Legacy 37¢ 28¢ $256 $195 −$61 (-24%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner G2 45¢ 0¢ $3,475 $4 −$3,471 (-100%)
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner Leviatán Esports 45¢ 0¢ $977 $1 −$976 (-100%)
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner DN SOOPers 38¢ 0¢ $553 $0 −$553 (-100%)
LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season SK Gaming 25¢ 0¢ $903 $0 −$903 (-100%)
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports - Game 3 Winner MVK Esports 35¢ 0¢ $481 $0 −$481 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Top Esports Challenger - Game 1 Winner Top Esports Challenger 17¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
LoL: GAM Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 2 Winner Deep Cross Gaming 41¢ 0¢ $323 $0 −$323 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner FURIA 38¢ 0¢ $749 $0 −$749 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Astralis 52¢ 0¢ $329 $0 −$329 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 58¢ 0¢ $1,045 $0 −$1,045 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5 Over 45¢ 0¢ $443 $0 −$443 (-100%)
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5) G2 45¢ 0¢ $247 $0 −$247 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5 Over 53¢ 0¢ $4,592 $0 −$4,592 (-100%)
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner Nemiga Gaming 21¢ 0¢ $237 $0 −$237 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner Aurora Gaming 38¢ 0¢ $744 $0 −$744 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs M80 - Map 2 Winner M80 19¢ 0¢ $278 $0 −$278 (-100%)
Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5) Movistar KOI 50¢ 0¢ $748 $0 −$748 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Team WE 28¢ 0¢ $2,127 $0 −$2,127 (-100%)
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffs Aurora 42¢ 0¢ $1,953 $0 −$1,953 (-100%)
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 3 Winner Sentinels 46¢ 0¢ $508 $0 −$508 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Team WE 12¢ 0¢ $606 $0 −$606 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner paiN 30¢ 0¢ $1,612 $0 −$1,612 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs MIBR 35¢ 0¢ $635 $0 −$635 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $539 −$539 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1,785 +$812 +46%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1,129 +$896 +79%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $390 +$733 +188%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $2,925 +$537 +18%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $901 −$886 -98%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $799 +$1,463 +183%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $2,164 −$2,126 -98%
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) Jun 12 $881 −$873 -99%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) Jun 11 $282 +$453 +161%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $817 +$446 +55%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $3,073 +$2,710 +88%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $266 −$260 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $523 −$512 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $1,020 −$1,001 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $1,058 −$1,045 -99%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) Jun 11 $86 −$84 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $1,284 −$1,265 -99%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $376 +$194 +52%
Spread: Spurs (-10.5) Jun 11 $152 +$148 +97%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $20,096 −$20,000 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5 Jun 10 $4,657 −$4,592 -99%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 10 $2,846 +$1,292 +45%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $1,270 +$1,775 +140%
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) Jun 10 $285 +$149 +52%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $3,009 +$4,380 +146%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $142 +$149 +105%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $3,352 +$3,557 +106%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $1,188 −$1,164 -98%
Map Handicap: GE (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5) Jun 10 $472 −$464 -98%
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - As Jun 10 $50 +$300 +596%
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 W Jun 10 $267 +$446 +167%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5 Jun 10 $4,064 −$4,000 -98%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $72 +$35 +48%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $2,021 −$1,984 -98%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5 Jun 10 $663 −$652 -98%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 09 $2,975 −$1,916 -64%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $2,665 +$2,641 +99%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $809 +$876 +108%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $399 +$455 +114%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 09 $2,325 +$899 +39%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $3,610 −$3,551 -98%
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) Jun 09 $413 +$440 +107%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $2,489 +$893 +36%
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Gro Jun 09 $2 $0 +5%
Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5) Jun 09 $328 −$321 -98%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $1,897 −$115 -6%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $3,102 −$222 -7%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $1,875 −$1,839 -98%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $923 −$142 -15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% −$92,209
other 1% −$2,538
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 100¢ $2,597 9m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 82¢ $2,595 14m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Legacy 29¢ $6 26m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Legacy 37¢ $255 31m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 45¢ $993 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Monte 100¢ $1,123 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 46¢ $773 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 46¢ $773 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 45¢ $744 2h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL TheMongolz 100¢ $3,462 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 45¢ $496 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 45¢ $745 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 68¢ $1,785 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 39¢ $61 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 34¢ $390 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 39¢ $6 3h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 39¢ $428 3h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 47¢ $406 3h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner SELL MOUZ 100¢ $2,262 3h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 55¢ $1,129 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 41¢ $2,164 4h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 34¢ $392 5h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 35¢ $408 5h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 84¢ $2,925 5h
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) BUY T1 68¢ $881 6h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 18¢ $266 19h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 20¢ $4 20h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 30¢ $519 20h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 64¢ $817 20h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) BUY Spirit 38¢ $94 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-17.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 131 -9.0% -17.6% 43% 41% -32.4%
≤30d 456 -9.0% -17.7% 41% 39% -23.2%
≤90d 663 -8.3% -17.0% 40% 38% -20.6%
all 663 -8.3% -17.0% 40% 38% -20.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover35.4 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.0% 38% -20.6%
10% -24.9% 37% -28.2%
15% ← realistic here -32.2% 35% -35.2%
20% -38.8% 32% -41.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,544.88 · official $2,544.88 (match) · 1859 history records