trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -3.5% | -12.7% | 33% | 33% | +15.7% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -3.5% | -12.7% | 33% | 33% | +15.7% |
| ≤90d | 7 | +7.9% | -2.4% | 43% | 43% | +21.0% |
| all | 10 | +32.1% | +19.5% | 50% | 50% | +20.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +19.5% | 50% | +20.9% |
| 10% | +8.1% | 50% | +9.3% |
| 15% | -2.3% | 40% | -1.2% |
| 20% | -11.9% | 40% | -10.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 14¢ | 10¢ | $1,600 | $1,116 | −$485 (-30%) |
| Will Trump attend 0 World Cup matches? | Yes | 7¢ | 6¢ | $19 | $17 | −$2 (-11%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 13¢ | 16¢ | $13 | $16 | +$3 (+23%) |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 17¢ | 14¢ | $9 | $7 | −$2 (-17%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| President Trump to Attend World Cup Final? | Jun 15 | $54 | −$24 | -44% |
| President Trump to Attend USA Opening Match? | Jun 13 | $42 | +$56 | +134% |
| Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals? | Jun 08 | $4 | −$4 | -97% |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 07 | $5 | +$4 | +78% |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28? | Apr 20 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? | Apr 15 | $7 | +$14 | +188% |
| US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026? | Mar 27 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Rese | Jan 30 | $6 | +$15 | +251% |
| Trump out as President by March 31? | Jan 29 | $25 | −$5 | -19% |
| Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,975-$5,100 in January? | Jan 27 | $4 | +$1 | +34% |