Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:08:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E8
0xe85d…ad4b
sports · 359 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$4,168 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,893 · open −$275
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$396
Realized−$3,893
Unrealized−$275
Win rate (resolved)26%
Wins / losses93 / 264
Whale WR (big bets)33%
Est. fees paid−$2,985
Open positions2
Markets (closed)357 / 359
History coverage34d
Avg bet$415
Trades / day16.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit84%
Chart Positions 2 History 357 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$671
7 days+$2,963
14 days−$6,764
30 days+$710
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton Adam Walton 26¢ 52¢ $195 $386 +$191 (+98%)
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 3.5 Over 22¢ 0¢ $476 $10 −$467 (-98%)
Canada vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5 Over 12¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann Yannick Hanfmann 30¢ 0¢ $317 $0 −$317 (-100%)
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Score Yes 23¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
OC Safi vs. Kawkab AC: O/U 2.5 Over 37¢ 0¢ $336 $0 −$336 (-100%)
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jeline Vandromme Jeline Vandromme 10¢ 0¢ $260 $0 −$260 (-100%)
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: Draw at halftime? Yes 36¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Colombia vs. Costa Rica: O/U 5.5 Over 36¢ 0¢ $851 $0 −$851 (-100%)
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-05-21? No 8¢ 0¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul Tommy Paul 31¢ 0¢ $490 $0 −$490 (-100%)
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-05-13? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 4.5 Over 10¢ 0¢ $700 $0 −$700 (-100%)
Mirassol FC vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 3.5 Over 20¢ 0¢ $990 $0 −$990 (-100%)
Grêmio FBPA vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 4.5 Over 54¢ 0¢ $280 $0 −$280 (-100%)
Will Recoleta FC win on 2026-05-19? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5 Over 25¢ 0¢ $515 $0 −$515 (-100%)
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-17? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Solana Sierra 12¢ 0¢ $139 $0 −$139 (-100%)
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-14? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $112 $0 −$112 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Martin Landaluce vs Daniil Medvedev Martin Landaluce 18¢ 0¢ $137 $0 −$137 (-100%)
Hamburg European Open: Marcos Giron vs Ben Shelton Marcos Giron 20¢ 0¢ $302 $0 −$302 (-100%)
Estudiantes de La Plata vs. Racing Club: O/U 1.5 Over 25¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Academia Puerto Cabello vs. CA Juventud: O/U 3.5 Over 25¢ 0¢ $1,541 $0 −$1,541 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
HSBC Championships, Qualification: James Duckworth vs Aleksandar Vukic Jun 13 $103 −$100 -97%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 13 $57 −$55 -97%
Halle Open, Qualification: Tiago Pereira vs Tom Gentzsch Jun 13 $255 −$250 -98%
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel Jun 13 $194 +$518 +267%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 13 $203 +$193 +95%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette Jun 13 $150 −$146 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $53 −$50 -94%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 13 $35 −$34 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -94%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm Jun 13 $22 −$21 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -95%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $51 −$50 -97%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $205 +$1,994 +970%
Audax CS Italiano vs. CD La Serena: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $12 −$12 -97%
Audax CS Italiano vs. CD La Serena: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $164 −$160 -98%
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) Jun 12 $73 −$71 -97%
COD Meknès vs. RCA Zemamra: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $93 −$90 -97%
OC Safi vs. Kawkab AC: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $342 −$336 -98%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Gabriela Ruse Jun 12 $154 −$150 -98%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $143 −$139 -97%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $255 +$363 +142%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 4.5 Jun 11 $822 −$800 -97%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 11 $153 +$1,150 +752%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $302 −$296 -98%
Spread: South Africa (-1.5) Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 4.5 Jun 11 $719 −$700 -97%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $170 +$620 +365%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Federico Bondioli Jun 11 $20 −$20 -98%
Modena: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Mayar Sherif Jun 11 $193 +$397 +206%
Stuttgart Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 11 $51 −$50 -98%
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzi Jun 11 $51 −$50 -98%
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Mia Pohankova Jun 11 $51 −$50 -98%
Libema Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Elise Mertens Jun 11 $51 −$50 -98%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 170.5 Jun 11 $102 −$100 -98%
Spread: Spurs (-10.5) Jun 11 $691 +$2,303 +333%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $292 −$285 -98%
Will Costa Rica win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $51 −$14 -28%
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $72 −$70 -97%
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 4.5 Jun 10 $103 −$20 -20%
England vs. Costa Rica: Both Teams to Score Jun 10 $453 −$445 -98%
Spread: Nigeria (-1.5) Jun 10 $51 −$50 -97%
Spread: UD Las Palmas (-1.5) Jun 10 $246 −$240 -97%
Tucuman: Segundo Goity Zapico vs Federico Coria Jun 10 $257 +$290 +113%
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Jun 10 $236 +$583 +247%
Tucuman: Nicolas Villalon vs Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez Jun 10 $4 −$4 -98%
Ilkley: Luca Nardi vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 10 $257 −$250 -97%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jeline Vandromme Jun 10 $267 −$260 -97%
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs Jun 10 $162 +$357 +220%
Libema Open: Thijs Boogaard vs Yibing Wu Jun 10 $323 +$835 +259%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 88% −$1,011
other 11% −$2,699
crypto 1% −$459
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton BUY Adam Walton 26¢ $199 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: James Duckworth vs Aleksandar Vukic BUY James Duckworth 11¢ $103 1h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 6¢ $57 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Tiago Pereira vs Tom Gentzsch BUY Tiago Pereira 28¢ $255 2h
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel SELL Dane Sweeny 99¢ $712 2h
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel BUY Dane Sweeny 34¢ $92 3h
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel BUY Dane Sweeny 22¢ $102 3h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro SELL Ben Shelton 99¢ $396 3h
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette BUY Magda Linette 15¢ $150 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $26 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $27 5h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Ben Shelton 50¢ $203 10h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Colorado Rockies 8¢ $35 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $26 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $26 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $5 10h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm BUY Seattle Storm 2¢ $22 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $26 11h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY Atlanta Braves 6¢ $51 11h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 SELL Over 99¢ $2,199 12h
Audax CS Italiano vs. CD La Serena: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 7¢ $12 15h
Audax CS Italiano vs. CD La Serena: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 16¢ $164 16h
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) BUY Bosnia and Herzegovina 7¢ $73 20h
COD Meknès vs. RCA Zemamra: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 6¢ $93 22h
OC Safi vs. Kawkab AC: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 37¢ $342 28h
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Gabriela Ruse BUY Gabriela Ruse 15¢ $154 28h
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra BUY Solana Sierra 12¢ $143 29h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 9¢ $205 35h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 82¢ $618 35h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-21.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 54 +0.5% -9.0% 22% 22% +18.5%
≤30d 293 -11.1% -19.6% 26% 25% -9.0%
≤90d 357 -12.6% -21.0% 26% 25% -11.8%
all 357 -12.6% -21.0% 26% 25% -11.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -21.0% 25% -11.8%
10% -28.5% 25% -20.2%
15% -35.4% 25% -27.9%
20% -41.8% 25% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $396.03 · official $396.03 (match) · 577 history records