Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:44:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E8
0xe855…7a78
crypto · 39 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$7 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$7 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized+$7
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses21 / 18
Open positions0
Markets (closed)39 / 39
History coverage1d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day44.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 39 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7
7 days+$7
14 days+$7
30 days+$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 48¢ 100¢ $5 $10 +$5 (+108%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$7 +138%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$4 +130%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$6 +603%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$5 +171%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$4 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $8 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $10 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $3 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $3 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $3 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $2 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $3 21h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-6.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 39 +3.3% -6.5% 54% 54% -5.2%
≤30d 39 +3.3% -6.5% 54% 54% -5.2%
≤90d 39 +3.3% -6.5% 54% 54% -5.2%
all 39 +3.3% -6.5% 54% 54% -5.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover44.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.5% 54% -5.2%
10% ← realistic here -15.5% 49% -14.3%
15% -23.6% 44% -22.6%
20% -31.1% 28% -30.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.42 · official $10.42 (match) · 66 history records