Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:18:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E8
0xe854…9e4d
crypto · 89 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$25 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$31 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$31
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses29 / 60
Open positions0
Markets (closed)89 / 89
History coverage9d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day14.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 89 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$24
7 days−$24
14 days−$31
30 days−$31
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -49%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -37%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$1 -17%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +105%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -16%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +129%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$9 +170%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -3%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -18%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$3 -51%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$5 +173%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -13%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +69%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -14%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -29%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -77%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +114%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -11%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$4 +159%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -33%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$31
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET SELL Down 28¢ $1 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET SELL Down 58¢ $3 4m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $3 6m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET SELL Down 5¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $3 14m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $3 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $3 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Up 20¢ $0 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Down 48¢ $2 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Up 27¢ $2 20m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $3 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET SELL Down 23¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 24m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 26m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 26m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $3 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET SELL Up 7¢ $1 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $3 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Down 48¢ $2 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 46m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 47m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Up 83¢ $4 49m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $3 52m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 54m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-28.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 69 -18.0% -25.8% 30% 26% -18.7%
≤30d 89 -20.8% -28.3% 33% 29% -19.3%
≤90d 89 -20.8% -28.3% 33% 29% -19.3%
all 89 -20.8% -28.3% 33% 29% -19.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -28.3% 29% -19.3%
10% -35.2% 25% -27.0%
15% -41.5% 22% -34.1%
20% -47.2% 21% -40.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 205 history records