Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:15:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E8
0xe851…2621
sports · 8 markets active 0h ago
3.0score
+$1 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Net worth$0
Realized+$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses3 / 5
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)8 / 8
History coverage45d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day0.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 8 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days+$2
14 days+$2
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $4 +$4 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -4%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 4.5 Apr 29 $1 $0 -33%
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 3.5 Apr 29 $2 −$1 -72%
Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 4.5 Apr 29 $3 $0 +7%
Botafogo FR vs. Club Independiente Petrolero: O/U 3.5 Apr 28 $1 $0 -4%
CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Santos FC: O/U 3.5 Apr 28 $1 $0 +30%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 88% +$1
crypto 12% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-17.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +0.2% -9.3% 33% 33% +14.3%
≤30d 3 +0.2% -9.3% 33% 33% +14.3%
≤90d 8 -8.9% -17.6% 38% 25% -6.0%
all 8 -8.9% -17.6% 38% 25% -6.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.6% 25% -6.0%
10% -25.4% 25% -15.0%
15% -32.7% 12% -23.2%
20% -39.3% 12% -30.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 17 history records