trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -8.5% | -17.2% | 33% | 0% | -14.9% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -8.5% | -17.2% | 33% | 0% | -14.9% |
| ≤90d | 7 | -21.6% | -29.1% | 29% | 0% | -23.1% |
| all | 26 | -12.6% | -20.9% | 27% | 19% | -38.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -20.9% | 19% | -38.0% |
| 10% | -28.5% | 19% | -44.0% |
| 15% | -35.4% | 19% | -49.4% |
| 20% | -41.7% | 15% | -54.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 12¢ | $109 | $124 | +$15 (+14%) |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $55 | $54 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $55 | $53 | −$2 (-3%) |
| Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $43 | $39 | −$4 (-8%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 17 | $83 | +$3 | +3% |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 17 | $52 | −$4 | -8% |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 17 | $55 | −$6 | -10% |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 17 | $25 | +$3 | +10% |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 17 | $23 | −$6 | -27% |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 17 | $25 | −$5 | -20% |
| Thunder vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 112.5 | Mar 21 | $28 | −$28 | -100% |
| Spread: UNLV Runnin' Rebels (-10.5) | Mar 18 | $88 | −$88 | -100% |
| Suns vs. Timberwolves | Mar 18 | $68 | −$68 | -100% |
| Yosuke Watanuki vs. Francesco Maestrelli: Total Sets O/U 2.5 | Mar 16 | $80 | −$2 | -2% |
| Watanuki vs. Maestrelli: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 | Mar 16 | $103 | −$2 | -2% |
| Trail Blazers vs. 76ers | Mar 15 | $115 | −$115 | -100% |
| Zverev vs. Sinner: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 | Mar 15 | $20 | +$105 | +525% |
| Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Florida Gators: O/U 160.5 | Mar 14 | $56 | +$113 | +202% |
| Wisconsin Badgers vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 160.5 | Mar 14 | $46 | −$46 | -100% |
| Bucks vs. Hawks: O/U 228.5 | Mar 14 | $82 | −$82 | -100% |
| Clemson Tigers vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 134.5 | Mar 14 | $48 | +$54 | +112% |
| Spread: Thunder (-5.5) | Mar 09 | $62 | −$62 | -100% |
| Mavericks vs. Raptors: O/U 229.5 | Mar 09 | $81 | +$112 | +138% |
| Marist Red Foxes vs. Quinnipiac Bobcats: O/U 133.5 | Mar 07 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Missouri Tigers: O/U 160.5 | Mar 07 | $47 | −$47 | -100% |
| Spread: Spurs (-14.5) | Feb 11 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Clippers vs. Rockets | Feb 11 | $6 | +$3 | +45% |
| BYU Cougars vs. Baylor Bears | Feb 11 | $103 | −$97 | -94% |
| OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | Feb 06 | $77 | −$77 | -100% |
| Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | Feb 06 | $74 | −$74 | -100% |