Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:08:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E8
0xe83b…2153
crypto · 22 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$8 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$8 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$11
Realized−$8
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses10 / 9
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)19 / 22
History coverage1d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day70.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 3 History 19 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$8
14 days−$8
30 days−$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 18¢ 18¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-3%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 25¢ 26¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+2%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 6¢ 6¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$3 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$5 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$5 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 81% −$8
other 14% $0
sports 5% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET SELL Up 36¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET SELL Down 54¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET SELL Up 64¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET SELL Up 3¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $3 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET SELL Down 9¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET SELL Down 33¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET SELL Down 37¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Up 43¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 26m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-20.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 -11.6% -20.0% 53% 37% -26.0%
≤30d 19 -11.6% -20.0% 53% 37% -26.0%
≤90d 19 -11.6% -20.0% 53% 37% -26.0%
all 19 -11.6% -20.0% 53% 37% -26.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover70.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.0% 37% -26.0%
10% ← realistic here -27.6% 32% -33.1%
15% -34.6% 26% -39.5%
20% -41.0% 11% -45.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.91 · official $10.91 (match) · 71 history records