Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:03:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E8
0xe826…7a7b
crypto · 656 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
+$19 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$19 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$1
Realized+$19
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses644 / 12
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)656 / 656
History coverage81d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day8.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 0 History 656 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$8
14 days+$15
30 days+$23
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - March 28, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3PM ET Down 98¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 11? Jun 11 $8 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2PM ET Jun 10 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3AM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12AM ET Jun 10 $9 +$1 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12AM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5AM ET Jun 09 $10 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 5AM ET Jun 09 $10 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3AM ET Jun 09 $10 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 1AM ET Jun 09 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 10PM ET Jun 09 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9PM ET Jun 09 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 6PM ET Jun 08 $9 +$1 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 08 $10 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 08 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 6AM ET Jun 08 $10 $0 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 2AM ET Jun 08 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2AM ET Jun 08 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 2AM ET Jun 08 $10 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 7, 12PM ET Jun 07 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 07 $10 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 7, 6AM ET Jun 07 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6AM ET Jun 07 $9 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 2AM ET Jun 07 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 2AM ET Jun 07 $10 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 7, 2AM ET Jun 07 $8 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 9PM ET Jun 05 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 9PM ET Jun 05 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 05 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 05 $9 +$1 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 1PM ET Jun 04 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 2AM ET Jun 04 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2AM ET Jun 04 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 2AM ET Jun 04 $10 $0 +4%
BNB Up or Down - June 3, 8PM ET Jun 04 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 03 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 12PM ET Jun 03 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 12PM ET Jun 03 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9AM ET Jun 03 $10 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6AM ET Jun 03 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 5PM ET Jun 02 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4PM ET Jun 02 $9 +$1 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 92% +$18
other 4% +$3
sports 3% −$4
finance 1% +$1
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 22h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 11? BUY No 96¢ $8 37h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $9 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $9 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 5AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 1AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 6PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $9 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 4d
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 6AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 4d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 2AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 2AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 7, 12PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 7, 6AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 34 +2.4% -7.3% 100% 0% -7.4%
≤30d 99 +2.5% -7.2% 100% 0% -7.3%
≤90d 656 +0.3% -9.3% 98% 0% -9.2%
all 656 +0.3% -9.3% 98% 0% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.3% 0% -9.2%
10% -17.9% 0% -17.9%
15% -25.9% 0% -25.8%
20% -33.1% 0% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.92 · official $0.00 (match) · 1704 history records