Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T18:54:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E8
0xe824…65b4
sports · 1434 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$85 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$99 · open +$13
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$450
Realized−$99
Unrealized+$13
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses639 / 678
Est. fees paid−$136
Open positions117
Markets (closed)1317 / 1434
History coverage12d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day201.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 117 History 1317 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$127
7 days−$483
14 days−$99
30 days−$99
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) Alex Pereira 49¢ 50¢ $35 $35 +$0 (+1%)
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 70¢ 98¢ $8 $12 +$3 (+40%)
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? No 44¢ 80¢ $6 $11 +$5 (+82%)
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 3 Winner UCAM Esports Club 36¢ 100¢ $3 $8 +$5 (+178%)
Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01? Yes 74¢ 72¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-2%)
Will Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup? No 65¢ 71¢ $6 $7 +$1 (+9%)
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs UCAM Esports Club 46¢ 100¢ $3 $7 +$4 (+117%)
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 3 Winner Galions 70¢ 100¢ $4 $6 +$2 (+43%)
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 Under 59¢ 61¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+3%)
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) FURIA 36¢ 74¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+104%)
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 54¢ 100¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+85%)
Will SpaceX have 14+ launches in June 2026? Yes 38¢ 66¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+72%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 63¢ 64¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+2%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Vitality 63¢ 100¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+59%)
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees 55¢ 52¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-6%)
Will Switzerland reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 59¢ 61¢ $4 $5 +$0 (+3%)
Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 57¢ 58¢ $4 $5 +$0 (+3%)
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? No 65¢ 100¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+54%)
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Australia 54¢ 54¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+0%)
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No 73¢ 73¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+0%)
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Yes 54¢ 80¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+47%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners Under 40¢ 38¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-4%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 0.5 Under 40¢ 38¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-4%)
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Katarzyna Kawa Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 41¢ 58¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+43%)
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? No 50¢ 47¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-6%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $3 −$2 -59%
Cattolica: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Francesco Forti Jun 13 $3 +$5 +172%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $3 −$2 -60%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $3 +$2 +65%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $6 −$1 -9%
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs Jun 13 $6 −$1 -11%
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 13 $3 −$2 -61%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 13 $8 −$3 -39%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $3 +$2 +62%
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw Jun 13 $3 −$2 -61%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) Jun 13 $3 −$2 -68%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $6 −$1 -14%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play Jun 13 $6 −$4 -72%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton Jun 13 $6 +$1 +12%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $3 −$3 -99%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $8 +$2 +20%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $3 +$1 +42%
Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Mannarino (+1.5) Jun 13 $3 +$2 +70%
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef Jun 13 $3 −$2 -62%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $3 −$2 -61%
Tucuman: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Nicolas Kicker Jun 13 $3 −$2 -69%
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler Jun 13 $3 −$2 -65%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Kamilla Rakhimo Jun 13 $3 $0 -3%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Caty McNally vs Mika Stojsavljevic Jun 13 $3 $0 -3%
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $3 +$4 +140%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 13 $3 −$2 -79%
Set 1 Winner: Udvardy vs Volynets Jun 13 $3 −$2 -79%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 13 $3 +$1 +35%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $3 +$1 +40%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Hannah Klugman vs Anastasia Zakharova Jun 13 $6 −$1 -14%
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 13 $6 $0 +7%
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Aoi Ito Jun 13 $3 −$2 -60%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Michael Mmo Jun 13 $3 −$2 -61%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $3 +$4 +146%
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer Jun 13 $3 −$2 -65%
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz Jun 13 $3 +$1 +32%
Halle Open, Qualification: Jamie Mackenzie vs Alex Bolt Jun 13 $3 −$3 -87%
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Jun 13 $3 −$2 -61%
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel Jun 13 $3 −$2 -60%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 13 $8 +$1 +12%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $6 $0 -3%
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $3 −$2 -81%
Barbora Krejcikova vs. Magda Linette: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $3 +$2 +50%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Marin Cilic Jun 13 $3 −$2 -76%
Ilkley: Oliver Tarvet vs Filippo Romano Jun 13 $3 −$2 -62%
Ilkley: Darwin Blanch vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 13 $3 −$2 -69%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 156.5 Jun 13 $9 $0 +5%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 158.5 Jun 13 $3 +$3 +86%
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-8.5) Jun 13 $6 −$1 -20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 95% −$93
other 4% −$3
world 1% +$2
politics 0% +$5
crypto 0% $0
tech 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Belgium reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 39¢ $3 2m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner SELL BetBoom Team 18¢ $1 4m
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Lanlana Tararudee BUY Zeynep Sonmez 55¢ $3 5m
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P BUY Eintracht Spandau 41¢ $2 10m
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P BUY Eintracht Spandau 41¢ $1 10m
Granit Xhaka: 1+ goals BUY No 73¢ $3 16m
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-4.5) BUY Minnesota Twins 65¢ $3 16m
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5 BUY Over 68¢ $3 16m
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-3.5) BUY Minnesota Twins 54¢ $3 16m
Set 1 Winner: Fernandez/Siegemund vs Jovic/Kessler BUY Fernandez/Siegemund 51¢ $3 18m
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5 BUY Over 71¢ $3 22m
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Gr BUY Power Rangers 73¢ $3 23m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 44¢ $3 23m
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Filippo Romano BUY Filippo Romano 44¢ $3 30m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL PARIVISION 16¢ $1 40m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners BUY Under 49¢ $3 42m
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5 BUY Over 56¢ $3 58m
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5 BUY Over 58¢ $3 58m
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5 BUY Over 52¢ $3 58m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 59¢ $3 58m
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 174.5 BUY Under 50¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL Legacy 21¢ $1 1h
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playo SELL Karmine Corp Blue 18¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY Bebop 44¢ $3 1h
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playo BUY Karmine Corp Blue 43¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 53¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 48¢ $3 1h
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi SELL Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 16¢ $1 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata SELL Rinky Hijikata 7¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 63¢ $3 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-12.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 992 -7.5% -16.3% 47% 45% -16.3%
≤30d 1317 -2.9% -12.1% 49% 46% -10.5%
≤90d 1317 -2.9% -12.1% 49% 46% -10.5%
all 1317 -2.9% -12.1% 49% 46% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover201.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.1% 46% -10.5%
10% ← realistic here -20.5% 41% -19.1%
15% -28.2% 35% -26.9%
20% -35.3% 27% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $450.47 · official $450.47 (match) · 3500 history records