trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 6 | -18.6% | -26.3% | 50% | 50% | -25.9% |
| ≤90d | 24 | -21.5% | -29.0% | 46% | 38% | -31.3% |
| all | 24 | -21.5% | -29.0% | 46% | 38% | -31.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -29.0% | 38% | -31.3% |
| 10% | -35.8% | 38% | -37.9% |
| 15% | -42.0% | 33% | -43.9% |
| 20% | -47.7% | 29% | -49.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? | Yes | 16¢ | 14¢ | $384 | $340 | −$44 (-11%) |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? | Yes | 73¢ | 74¢ | $30 | $30 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | Yes | 58¢ | 57¢ | $30 | $30 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29? | Yes | 46¢ | 44¢ | $16 | $15 | −$1 (-3%) |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28? | Yes | 16¢ | 16¢ | $15 | $15 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $57 | +$30 | +53% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 20 | $30 | −$30 | -99% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $40 | +$25 | +62% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 18 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage | May 30 | $51 | +$37 | +73% |
| Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage | May 29 | $97 | −$96 | -99% |
| Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffs | May 24 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs | May 24 | $51 | +$56 | +109% |
| Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs | May 22 | $25 | −$25 | -98% |
| Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs | May 22 | $51 | −$50 | -99% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 22 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs | May 22 | $51 | +$33 | +65% |
| Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs | May 21 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs | May 20 | $51 | −$50 | -99% |
| Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs | May 20 | $25 | +$12 | +48% |
| Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs | May 19 | $25 | −$25 | -99% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18? | May 19 | $25 | +$2 | +8% |
| Canadiens vs. Sabres | May 19 | $25 | +$26 | +101% |
| Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B | May 18 | $50 | +$4 | +8% |
| Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B | May 18 | $51 | −$2 | -5% |
| Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B | May 18 | $76 | +$19 | +26% |
| Dota 2: PlayTime vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B | May 18 | $25 | +$34 | +134% |
| MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry | May 17 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Sabres vs. Canadiens | May 17 | $25 | −$25 | -99% |