Wallet analysis

2026-06-25T20:24:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E8 0xe817…18da crypto 1517 markets active 8h ago coverage 40d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 39d only
✗ bot/MM pace (53 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$200 (+0%) realized +$200 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR22%break-even
Win rate92%1414W / 129L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$28per market
Trades / day52.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$452
7 days−$810
14 days−$622
30 days−$983
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$183
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (53 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-10.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 147 -20.8% -28.4% 65% 54% -24.6%
≤30d 703 -4.0% -13.1% 85% 40% -13.3%
≤90d 1543 -1.1% -10.5% 92% 22% -11.2%
all 1543 -1.1% -10.5% 92% 22% -11.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover52.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.5% 22% -11.2%
10% ← realistic here -19.1% 7% -19.7%
15% -26.9% 3% -27.4%
20% -34.1% 1% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
74% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -4% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$32 · ×0.07 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.82 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

40d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$200
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)92%
Wins / losses1414 / 129
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1543 / 1517
History coverage40d ⚠
Avg bet$28
Trades / day52.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1543 Trades
no open positions (117 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 25 $15 −$15 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 25 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 25 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 25 $17 −$17 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 25 $36 −$36 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 25 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 25 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 25 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 25 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 25 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 25 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 25 $34 −$34 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 25 $31 −$31 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 25 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 25 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 25 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 25 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 25 $31 −$31 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 25 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 25 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 25 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 25 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 25 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 25 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 25 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 25 $50 −$50 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 25 $52 +$11 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 25 $51 +$8 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 25 $54 +$6 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 25 $50 +$6 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 25 $51 +$11 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 25 $51 +$6 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 25 $58 +$5 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 25 $55 +$6 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 25 $54 +$6 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 25 $54 +$9 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 25 $51 −$50 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 25 $51 +$12 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 25 $52 +$10 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 25 $52 +$9 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 25 $52 +$7 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 25 $55 +$9 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 25 $51 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 25 $50 −$49 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 25 $52 +$8 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 24 $54 +$10 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 24 $50 +$6 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 24 $50 +$10 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 24 $50 +$10 +19%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $50 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $52 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $51 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $54 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $50 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $51 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $51 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $58 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $55 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $54 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $54 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $51 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $51 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $52 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $52 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $52 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $55 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $51 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $50 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $52 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $54 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $50 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $50 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $50 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $26 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $25 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $26 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $28 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $23 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $27 38h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records