Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T14:08:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E8 0xe807…8d4d crypto 352 markets active 4d ago coverage 9d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 8d only
✗ bot/MM pace (374 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$551 (-7%) realized −$551 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -25% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -42% what you keep after slip
Net edge-42%after slip
Net WR28%break-even
Win rate39%152W / 236L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$23per market
Trades / day374.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,062
7 days−$1,172
14 days−$1,850
30 days−$1,850
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$788
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (374 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-32.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 59 -68.8% -71.7% 12% 2% -63.7%
≤30d 388 -25.1% -32.3% 39% 28% -28.1%
≤90d 388 -25.1% -32.3% 39% 28% -28.1%
all 388 -25.1% -32.3% 39% 28% -28.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover374.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -32.3% 28% -28.1%
10% ← realistic here -38.8% 23% -35.0%
15% -44.7% 19% -41.3%
20% -50.1% 17% -47.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 12% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -20% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
26% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -25% · $-wt -20% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -13% → late -37% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
9.3 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$12 vs −$15 · ×0.76 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.49 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

9d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$551
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses152 / 236
Open positions0
Markets (closed)388 / 352
History coverage9d ⚠
Avg bet$23
Trades / day374.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 388 Trades
no open positions (170 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 18 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 18 $90 −$90 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 18 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 18 $77 −$77 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 18 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 18 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 18 $78 −$78 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 18 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 18 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 18 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 18 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 18 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 18 $78 −$78 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 18 $77 −$77 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 18 $78 −$78 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 18 $78 −$78 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 18 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 18 $94 −$94 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 18 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 18 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 18 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 18 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 18 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $23 −$13 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$7 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $39 −$18 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $33 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $39 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $54 −$4 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $68 −$9 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $64 −$10 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$5 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $52 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $48 −$11 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $49 −$7 -15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records