Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:45:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E7
0xe7fc…1c16
weather · 540 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$379 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$378 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,540
Realized+$378
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses497 / 2
Open positions43
Markets (closed)499 / 540
History coverage9d
Avg bet$68
Trades / day386.8
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 43 History 499 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$25
7 days+$105
14 days+$378
30 days+$378
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on June 15? No 99¢ 99¢ $149 $149 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 81°F or below on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $100 $100 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 22°C or below on June 15? No 100¢ 100¢ $100 $100 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on June 15? No 100¢ 99¢ $100 $99 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $90 $90 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C or below on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $88 $88 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on June 15? No 99¢ 99¢ $82 $82 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $77 $77 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on June 15? No 100¢ 99¢ $66 $66 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on June 14? No 99¢ 99¢ $60 $60 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C or higher on June 14? No 99¢ 99¢ $59 $60 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 15? No 99¢ 99¢ $59 $60 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on June 14? No 100¢ 99¢ $60 $60 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on June 13? No 100¢ 99¢ $60 $59 −$1 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 15? No 100¢ 100¢ $59 $59 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $54 $54 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $46 $46 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $44 $44 +$0 (+0%)
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on June 14? No 99¢ 100¢ $38 $38 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on June 14? No 100¢ 99¢ $22 $22 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C or higher on June 15? No 100¢ 100¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on June 15? No 99¢ 99¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C on June 15? No 99¢ 100¢ $19 $19 +$0 (+0%)
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? Yes 89¢ 92¢ $18 $18 +$0 (+3%)
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C or below on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 13? Jun 13 $91 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on June 14? Jun 13 $15 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on June 13? Jun 13 $85 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C or higher on June 13? Jun 13 $66 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on June 15? Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C or higher on June 14? Jun 13 $18 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 14? Jun 13 $55 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on June 14? Jun 13 $44 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on June 14? Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 77°F or below on June 14? Jun 13 $14 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 67°F or below on June Jun 13 $13 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 32°C or higher on June 13? Jun 13 $244 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on Ju Jun 13 $193 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on June 14? Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C or higher on June 13? Jun 13 $13 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C or below on June 14? Jun 13 $77 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on June 14? Jun 13 $33 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on June 14? Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 81°F or below on June 12? Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 13? Jun 13 $66 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C or higher on June 13 Jun 13 $134 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C or higher on June 13 Jun 13 $33 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 13? Jun 13 $66 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 84°F or higher on June 14? Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 13? Jun 13 $60 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on June 13? Jun 13 $7 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 92°F or higher on June 13? Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 82°F or higher on June Jun 13 $110 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on June 13? Jun 13 $139 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on June 13? Jun 13 $44 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 13? Jun 13 $183 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C or below on June 13? Jun 13 $33 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 12? Jun 13 $65 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C or higher on June 13? Jun 13 $88 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C or below on June 14? Jun 13 $53 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 67°F or below on June 13? Jun 13 $6 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 104°F or higher on June 13? Jun 13 $44 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 13? Jun 13 $59 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on June 13? Jun 13 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C or below on June 13? Jun 13 $251 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 13? Jun 12 $60 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on June 14? Jun 12 $40 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 85°F or below on June 13? Jun 12 $55 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 13? Jun 12 $44 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on June 13? Jun 12 $66 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C or below on June 13? Jun 12 $71 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 86°F or higher on Jun Jun 12 $60 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 13? Jun 12 $204 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C or higher on June 14? Jun 12 $55 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on Ju Jun 12 $111 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 98% +$315
finance 2% +$63
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $14 1m
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $54 2m
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on June 15? BUY No 99¢ $5 37m
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C or higher on June 15? BUY No 100¢ $5 37m
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 22°C or below on June 15? BUY No 100¢ $100 41m
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 88°F or higher on Jun SELL No 100¢ $151 41m
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $22 44m
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $7 45m
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $20 46m
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $13 51m
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $18 51m
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $10 51m
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 88°F or higher on Jun SELL No 100¢ $8 52m
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $0 54m
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $5 59m
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 23°C on June 15? BUY No 100¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $7 1h
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $30 1h
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 15? BUY No 99¢ $59 1h
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C or higher on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $7 1h
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C or higher on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C or higher on June 15? BUY No 100¢ $8 1h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on June 15? BUY No 99¢ $8 1h
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C or higher on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $41 1h
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $6 1h
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C or higher on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $12 1h
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 15? SELL No 100¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-8.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 414 +0.5% -9.1% 100% 1% -9.2%
≤30d 499 +1.5% -8.2% 100% 2% -8.5%
≤90d 499 +1.5% -8.2% 100% 2% -8.5%
all 499 +1.5% -8.2% 100% 2% -8.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover386.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.2% 2% -8.5%
10% ← realistic here -17.0% 1% -17.3%
15% -25.0% 1% -25.3%
20% -32.4% 1% -32.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,540.28 · official $1,539.31 (match) · 3500 history records