Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T18:30:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E7
0xe7f8…3235
sports · 88 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$5 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$69
Realized−$3
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses9 / 12
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions67
Markets (closed)21 / 88
History coverage5d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day22.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 67 History 21 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days−$3
14 days−$3
30 days−$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 3.5 Under 76¢ 75¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 3.5 Under 78¢ 76¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 3.5 Under 73¢ 70¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-4%)
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5 Under 68¢ 66¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-4%)
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5 Under 71¢ 71¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 10¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5 Under 83¢ 82¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 3.5 Under 82¢ 81¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 3.5 Under 80¢ 80¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 3.5 Under 80¢ 80¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 Under 77¢ 76¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 3.5 Under 78¢ 78¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5 Under 78¢ 78¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 Under 75¢ 74¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 3.5 Under 75¢ 74¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 3.5 Under 73¢ 72¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5 Under 73¢ 72¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
France vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5 Under 73¢ 72¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5 Under 67¢ 66¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5 Under 67¢ 66¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Under 65¢ 64¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 3.5 Under 62¢ 62¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes 61¢ 60¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 Under 55¢ 55¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +13%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $1 +$1 +114%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$4 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +22%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June? Jun 12 $1 $0 -21%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? Jun 12 $1 $0 -9%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$3 +244%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $2 −$1 -38%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $5 +$2 +42%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
Ethereum above 1,690 on June 8, 3PM ET? Jun 08 $4 −$4 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 67% −$3
crypto 20% −$2
other 11% $0
finance 2% $0
politics 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 3m
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $1 14m
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 15m
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) BUY Brazil 32¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 56m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 1h
Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 79¢ $1 1h
Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 82¢ $1 1h
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 83¢ $1 1h
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 69¢ $1 1h
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 73¢ $1 1h
Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 81¢ $1 1h
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 76¢ $1 1h
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 69¢ $1 1h
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 73¢ $1 1h
Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 80¢ $1 1h
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 79¢ $1 1h
Panama vs. England: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 67¢ $1 1h
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 76¢ $1 1h
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 77¢ $1 1h
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 75¢ $1 1h
Norway vs. France: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 75¢ $1 1h
Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 80¢ $1 1h
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 79¢ $1 1h
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 73¢ $1 1h
Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 68¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-17.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 21 -8.7% -17.4% 43% 38% -18.9%
≤30d 21 -8.7% -17.4% 43% 38% -18.9%
≤90d 21 -8.7% -17.4% 43% 38% -18.9%
all 21 -8.7% -17.4% 43% 38% -18.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover22.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.4% 38% -18.9%
10% ← realistic here -25.3% 29% -26.6%
15% -32.6% 24% -33.7%
20% -39.2% 19% -40.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $69.11 · official $69.16 (match) · 116 history records