Wallet analysis

2026-06-22T20:46:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E7 0xe7ee…7af7 crypto 74 markets active 2h ago coverage 10d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$54 (-5%) realized −$54 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -11% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -32% what you keep after slip
Net edge-32%after slip
Net WR27%break-even
Win rate58%43W / 31L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$15per market
Trades / day35.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$59
14 days−$58
30 days−$58
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 97% −$31
finance 2% −$17
world 1% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-19.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 73 -11.9% -20.3% 58% 26% -14.3%
≤30d 74 -11.4% -19.8% 58% 27% -14.1%
≤90d 74 -11.4% -19.8% 58% 27% -14.1%
all 74 -11.4% -19.8% 58% 27% -14.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover35.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.8% 27% -14.1%
10% ← realistic here -27.5% 12% -22.4%
15% -34.5% 1% -29.9%
20% -40.9% 0% -36.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 12% · top 2 22% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
49% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -11% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -7% → late -15% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.6 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$5 · ×0.43 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.6 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

10d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$54
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses43 / 31
Open positions0
Markets (closed)74 / 74
History coverage10d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day35.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 74 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 22 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 22 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 22 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 22 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 22 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 22 $11 −$4 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 22 $61 +$8 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 22 $26 +$8 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 22 $57 +$10 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 22 $26 +$9 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 22 $30 +$4 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 22 $21 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 22 $35 +$6 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 22 $10 −$5 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 22 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 22 $30 +$4 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 22 $15 +$4 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 22 $25 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 22 $36 −$3 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 22 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 22 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 22 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 22 $15 +$5 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 22 $30 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 22 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 22 $10 −$2 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 22 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 22 $52 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 22 $10 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 19 $21 −$10 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 19 $13 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 19 $12 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 19 $4 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 19 $10 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 19 $11 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 19 $6 −$5 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 19 $3 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 19 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 19 $3 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 19 $2 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 19 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 19 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 19 $5 −$2 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 18 $4 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 18 $3 $0 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 18 $18 −$3 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 18 $16 +$2 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $39 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $31 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Down 68¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $31 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Up 73¢ $34 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $44 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Up 37¢ $23 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $34 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Down 56¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET SELL Up 2¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET SELL Down 58¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $41 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $25 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 425 history records