Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:59:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E7
0xe7ea…ad1a
crypto · 51 markets active 0h ago
1.5score
+$6 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$6 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized+$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses40 / 11
Open positions0
Markets (closed)51 / 51
History coverage2d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day50.8
Drawdown97%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 51 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6
7 days+$6
14 days+$6
30 days+$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 65¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 59¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 87¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 41¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$4 +374%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$6 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 88¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Down 82¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Up 93¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET SELL Up 90¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)+2.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 51 +13.1% +2.3% 78% 55% -3.7%
≤30d 51 +13.1% +2.3% 78% 55% -3.7%
≤90d 51 +13.1% +2.3% 78% 55% -3.7%
all 51 +13.1% +2.3% 78% 55% -3.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover50.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +2.3% 55% -3.7%
10% ← realistic here -7.5% 35% -12.9%
15% -16.4% 25% -21.4%
20% -24.6% 18% -29.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 178 history records