Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:08:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E7
0xe7dc…2e5e
sports · 11 markets active 0h ago
4.5score
+$65 +10%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$120 · open −$55
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Net worth$195
Realized+$120
Unrealized−$55
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses5 / 4
Est. fees paid−$8
Open positions2
Markets (closed)9 / 11
History coverage216d
Avg bet$61
Trades / day0.1
Drawdown52%
Kalshi-fit73%
Chart Positions 2 History 9 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$156
7 days+$156
14 days+$156
30 days+$156
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 42¢ 46¢ $150 $163 +$13 (+9%)
Spread: Morocco (-1.5) Morocco 11¢ $100 $32 −$68 (-68%)
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) KT Rolster $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
AFC U23 Final: China vs. Japan China 26¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $63 −$13 -20%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $10 +$31 +307%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $20 +$50 +246%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $102 +$55 +54%
Spread: United States (-2.5) Jun 13 $22 +$17 +78%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $51 +$48 +94%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $59 −$33 -57%
AFC U23 Final: China vs. Japan Jan 24 $26 −$26 -100%
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) Nov 09 $59 −$10 -17%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 60% +$16
other 40% +$49
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 19¢ $10 16m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 22¢ $12 25m
Spread: Morocco (-1.5) BUY Morocco 11¢ $103 32m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 30¢ $51 38m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 52¢ $101 45m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 20¢ $41 45m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 24¢ $51 54m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 SELL Over 100¢ $42 20h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 99¢ $71 20h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 28¢ $20 20h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 24¢ $10 20h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 74¢ $8 21h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 74¢ $148 21h
Spread: United States (-2.5) SELL United States 80¢ $40 21h
Spread: United States (-2.5) BUY United States 44¢ $22 21h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 47¢ $102 21h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 93¢ $99 21h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 18¢ $25 21h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 40¢ $59 21h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $51 22h
AFC U23 Final: China vs. Japan BUY China 26¢ $26 140d
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) BUY KT Rolster $10 216d
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) SELL T1 83¢ $113 216d
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) BUY T1 36¢ $49 216d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)+40.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 +100.3% +81.2% 71% 71% +33.5%
≤30d 7 +100.3% +81.2% 71% 71% +33.5%
≤90d 7 +100.3% +81.2% 71% 71% +33.5%
all 9 +55.8% +40.9% 56% 56% +20.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +40.9% 56% +20.3%
10% +27.4% 56% +8.8%
15% +15.1% 56% -1.7%
20% +3.8% 56% -11.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $195.15 · official $208.79 · 24 history records