Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:21:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E7
0xe7db…f9ea
politics · 33 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$6 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$6 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)24%
Wins / losses8 / 25
Open positions0
Markets (closed)33 / 33
History coverage317d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day0.4
Drawdown8%
Kalshi-fit76%
Chart Positions 0 History 33 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$4
14 days+$4
30 days+$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Jun 13 $31 −$1 -2%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 13 $19 +$2 +10%
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Jun 10 $14 +$3 +22%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? Jun 10 $13 $0 -2%
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026? Dec 17 $2 $0 -2%
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Sep 09 $13 +$1 +6%
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026? Aug 06 $47 $0 +0%
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31? Aug 06 $1 +$1 +36%
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Aug 06 $1 $0 -2%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Aug 06 $15 $0 -0%
Will global temperature increase by between 0.95–0.99ºC in July 2025? Aug 05 $47 +$1 +2%
Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026? Aug 05 $2 $0 +0%
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Aug 04 $17 $0 +0%
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025? Aug 04 $2 $0 -1%
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League? Aug 04 $17 $0 +0%
Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31? Aug 04 $26 $0 -0%
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31? Aug 04 $17 $0 +0%
Will GPT-5 be released by December 31? Aug 04 $11 $0 +1%
Will Seán Kelly win the Irish Presidential Election? Aug 04 $6 $0 -0%
Will the Houston Astros win the 2025 World Series? Aug 03 $12 $0 -0%
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2025 World Series? Aug 03 $5 $0 +0%
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Aug 02 $8 $0 +0%
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Aug 02 $5 $0 +0%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Aug 01 $50 $0 +0%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Aug 01 $10 $0 -0%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Aug 01 $13 $0 +0%
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Aug 01 $48 $0 +0%
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? Aug 01 $5 $0 +0%
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026? Aug 01 $60 $0 -0%
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Aug 01 $6 $0 +0%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Aug 01 $7 $0 -0%
Will Raphinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? Jul 31 $60 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 34% +$1
other 33% $0
world 13% +$4
tech 9% +$1
weather 8% +$1
sports 3% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? SELL Yes 55¢ $10 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? SELL Yes 55¢ $18 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? SELL Yes 55¢ $3 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? BUY Yes 56¢ $31 2h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL No 22¢ $13 4h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL No 22¢ $8 4h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY No 20¢ $19 5h
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? SELL Yes 2¢ $1 29h
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 29h
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 29h
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 30h
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 30h
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? SELL Yes 28¢ $17 3d
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? BUY Yes 23¢ $7 3d
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? BUY Yes 23¢ $6 3d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? SELL Yes 42¢ $13 3d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? BUY Yes 43¢ $13 3d
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026? SELL Yes 19¢ $0 178d
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? SELL No 98¢ $14 277d
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026? SELL No 98¢ $47 310d
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026? SELL Yes 3¢ $0 311d
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026? SELL Yes 3¢ $0 311d
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026? SELL Yes 3¢ $1 311d
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31? SELL Yes 2¢ $1 311d
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31? SELL Yes 2¢ $1 311d
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 311d
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL Yes 3¢ $0 311d
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026? BUY No 98¢ $47 311d
Will global temperature increase by between 0.95–0.99ºC in July 2025? SELL No 98¢ $48 311d
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026? SELL Yes 3¢ $0 312d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-7.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 +5.5% -4.5% 40% 20% -4.9%
≤30d 5 +5.5% -4.5% 40% 20% -4.9%
≤90d 5 +5.5% -4.5% 40% 20% -4.9%
all 33 +2.0% -7.7% 24% 6% -8.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.7% 6% -8.6%
10% -16.5% 3% -17.3%
15% -24.6% 3% -25.3%
20% -32.0% 0% -32.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 132 history records