trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | +5.9% | -4.2% | 33% | 33% | -3.0% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +5.9% | -4.2% | 33% | 33% | -3.0% |
| ≤90d | 13 | +21.9% | +10.3% | 38% | 38% | -0.8% |
| all | 16 | +33.8% | +21.1% | 50% | 44% | +13.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +21.1% | 44% | +13.3% |
| 10% | +9.5% | 44% | +2.5% |
| 15% | -1.1% | 44% | -7.4% |
| 20% | -10.8% | 31% | -16.5% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 28 | $1,630 | +$607 | +37% |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 28 | $880 | +$1,180 | +134% |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 28 | $1,720 | −$698 | -41% |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 28 | $1,100 | −$107 | -10% |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 28 | $700 | −$186 | -27% |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 28 | $450 | −$181 | -40% |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 28 | $170 | +$80 | +47% |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 28 | $520 | −$170 | -33% |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 28 | $34 | −$5 | -16% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 13? | Apr 14 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Apr 14 | $50 | +$177 | +354% |
| Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Apr 13 | $200 | +$156 | +78% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 8PM ET | Apr 12 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Feb 09 | $716 | +$1,353 | +189% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025? | Dec 31 | $699 | +$36 | +5% |
| Based FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Dec 26 | $400 | +$250 | +63% |