Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:08:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E7
0xe7d8…dccb
crypto · 1661 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$414 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$414 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$52
Realized−$414
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses1640 / 20
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1660 / 1661
History coverage10d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day194.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 0 History 1660 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$9
7 days−$447
14 days−$414
30 days−$414
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+1%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% −$423
other 5% +$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 28m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $0 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1233 -0.4% -9.9% 98% 0% -10.8%
≤30d 1660 -0.1% -9.6% 99% 0% -10.6%
≤90d 1660 -0.1% -9.6% 99% 0% -10.6%
all 1660 -0.1% -9.6% 99% 0% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover194.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.6% 0% -10.6%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 0% -19.1%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.9%
20% -33.4% 0% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $51.71 · official $51.36 (match) · 3500 history records