Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T04:48:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E7 0xe7d6…61a7 crypto 1847 markets active 4d ago coverage 4d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 4d only
✗ bot/MM pace (657 trades/day) — uncopyable
Total PnL −$462 (-8%) realized −$462 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +26% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -3% what you keep after slip
Net edge-3%after slip
Net WR58%break-even
Win rate59%721W / 505L
Drawdown31%max
Avg bet$3per market
Trades / day657.0pace
Kalshi-fit81%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 4d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 82% +$1,541
other 18% +$284
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (657 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)+14.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 774 +9.0% -1.3% 49% 49% +1.7%
≤30d 1226 +26.4% +14.4% 59% 58% +16.9%
≤90d 1226 +26.4% +14.4% 59% 58% +16.9%
all 1226 +26.4% +14.4% 59% 58% +16.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover657.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +14.4% 58% +16.9%
10% ← realistic here +3.4% 58% +5.7%
15% -6.6% 58% -4.5%
20% -15.7% 58% -13.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 0% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +29% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
1% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +26% · $-wt +29% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +53% → late -0% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$3 · ×1.28 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.83 per $1 lost it wins $1.83
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

4d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$462
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses721 / 505
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1226 / 1847
History coverage4d ⚠
Avg bet$3
Trades / day657.0
Drawdown31%
Kalshi-fit81%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1226 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 17 $14 −$14 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 7, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 17 $11 −$11 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 17 $11 −$11 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 17 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $0 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 4d
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 4d
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 4d
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 4d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 4d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 4d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 4d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 4d
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $0 4d
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 4d
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 4d
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $0 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $0 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $0 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $0 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $0 4d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $0 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $0 4d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $0 4d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $0 4d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $0 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records