Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:22:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E7
0xe7d5…9c6c
other · 47 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses22 / 25
Open positions0
Markets (closed)47 / 47
History coverage423d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day0.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit66%
Chart Positions 0 History 47 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Jun 13 $12 $0 +0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Jun 13 $3 $0 +7%
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 13 $6 $0 +2%
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by Jun 13 $14 $0 +0%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Jun 11 $9 $0 +0%
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? Jun 10 $44 $0 +0%
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Jun 09 $21 $0 +0%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Jun 09 $2 $0 -9%
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? Jun 09 $44 $0 +0%
Will Alberta join the US? Jun 07 $44 $0 -1%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Jun 05 $3 $0 -9%
Iran leadership change by June 30? Jun 05 $40 $0 +0%
Will Romania's court annul the presidential election? Dec 14 $2 $0 +1%
Will ODS win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election? Jun 27 $16 $0 -0%
Will Elon tweet 125–139 times May 30–June 6? Jun 06 $0 $0 -100%
Will Malta win Eurovision 2025? May 19 $16 $0 +1%
Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2025? May 13 $16 $0 +0%
Will Canada join US as 51st state before July? May 13 $16 $0 +0%
Will Trump deport 2,000,000 or more people? May 12 $16 $0 +0%
Will Elon tweet 350 or more times May 9–16? May 11 $13 $0 +0%
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2025 Stanley Cup? May 11 $4 $0 -11%
Will Lee Jae-myung win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential elec May 10 $16 $0 +2%
Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese leg May 10 $16 $0 +0%
Will Knicks vs. Warriors be the 2025 NBA Finals matchup? May 10 $16 $0 +0%
Will egg prices be between $6.00 and $6.25 in April? May 09 $16 $0 +1%
Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope? May 09 $18 −$3 -14%
Will Pacers vs. Nuggets be the 2025 NBA Finals matchup? May 09 $16 $0 +0%
Will Sweden qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final? May 09 $16 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1500 on May 9? May 08 $18 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in May? May 07 $18 $0 -0%
Will Zellnor Myrie win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York Ci May 07 $17 $0 +0%
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals? May 06 $1 $0 +1%
Will Nicușor Dan win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian p May 06 $17 $0 +3%
Will Trump create External Revenue Service in first 100 days? Apr 30 $16 $0 +0%
Will Baldassare Reina be the next pope? Apr 29 $16 $0 +0%
Will Mario Grech be the next pope? Apr 29 $16 $0 +0%
Will Raymond Burke be the next pope? Apr 28 $17 $0 +0%
Will Trump announce Larry Kudlow as next Fed Chair? Apr 28 $16 $0 -0%
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Canadian federal election be between 16 Apr 28 $17 $0 +0%
Will another coalition form the next German Government? Apr 27 $16 $0 +0%
Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in Newfoundland and Lab Apr 27 $16 $0 +1%
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2025 National League Championshi Apr 26 $16 $0 -0%
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on April 30? Apr 26 $17 $0 -0%
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on June 30? Apr 26 $16 $0 -0%
Will 'Lilo & Stich' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025? Apr 19 $16 $0 +1%
Will Bayer Leverkusen win the Bundesliga? Apr 17 $16 $0 +0%
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2025 World Series? Apr 16 $16 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 34% −$3
world 26% $0
politics 22% +$1
sports 7% $0
crypto 5% $0
tech 4% $0
economics 2% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? SELL Yes 55¢ $12 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? BUY Yes 55¢ $12 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? SELL No 16¢ $3 6h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? BUY No 15¢ $3 8h
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 14¢ $6 14h
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 14¢ $6 16h
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by SELL No 96¢ $14 17h
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by BUY No 96¢ $14 18h
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? SELL Yes 10¢ $9 2d
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 2d
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? BUY Yes 10¢ $7 2d
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? SELL No 98¢ $44 3d
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? BUY No 98¢ $44 3d
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? SELL Yes 27¢ $14 4d
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? SELL Yes 27¢ $8 4d
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? BUY Yes 27¢ $2 4d
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? BUY Yes 27¢ $11 4d
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? BUY Yes 27¢ $8 4d
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? SELL Yes 2¢ $2 4d
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 4d
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 4d
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? SELL No 98¢ $44 4d
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? BUY No 98¢ $44 4d
Will Alberta join the US? SELL No 95¢ $21 6d
Will Alberta join the US? SELL No 95¢ $19 6d
Will Alberta join the US? BUY No 95¢ $40 6d
Will Alberta join the US? SELL Yes 4¢ $0 6d
Will Alberta join the US? SELL Yes 4¢ $2 6d
Will Alberta join the US? SELL Yes 4¢ $2 6d
Will Alberta join the US? BUY Yes 5¢ $4 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-11.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 -0.0% -9.6% 40% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 12 -0.8% -10.2% 33% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 12 -0.8% -10.2% 33% 0% -9.7%
all 47 -2.6% -11.9% 47% 0% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.9% 0% -9.8%
10% -20.3% 0% -18.4%
15% -28.0% 0% -26.3%
20% -35.1% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 127 history records