Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T03:45:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
E7 0xe7d5…f4e7 crypto 975 markets active 0h ago coverage 6d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 6d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (415 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$7,546 (-7%) realized −$7,838 · open +$292
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate97%947W / 32L
Whale WR100%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$116per market
Trades / day415.0pace
Kalshi-fit92%portable
Net worth$292now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 6d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 96% −$231
other 4% −$266
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (415 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-11.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 979 -2.2% -11.5% 97% 0% -10.2%
≤30d 979 -2.2% -11.5% 97% 0% -10.2%
≤90d 979 -2.2% -11.5% 97% 0% -10.2%
all 979 -2.2% -11.5% 97% 0% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover415.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.5% 0% -10.2%
10% ← realistic here -20.0% 0% -18.8%
15% -27.7% 0% -26.7%
20% -34.8% 0% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 100% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -2% → late -3% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$65 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.57 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

6d coverage
Net worth$292
Realized−$7,838
Unrealized+$292
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses947 / 32
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)979 / 975
History coverage6d ⚠
Avg bet$116
Trades / day415.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 979 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Up 0¢ 98¢ $0 $292 +$292 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 31 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 23, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 17 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 17 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 17 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 17 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 17 $100 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 17 $49 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 17 $346 +$4 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8PM ET Jun 17 $49 +$1 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 17 $594 +$6 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 16 $49 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 16 $49 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4PM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $50 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $50 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $50 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $50 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $50 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $50 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $50 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $50 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $32 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $50 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $50 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $50 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $48 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $49 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $14 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $292.50 · official $265.50 · 3500 history records