Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T16:37:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E7 0xe7cc…188a crypto 521 markets active 0h ago coverage 16d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 15d only
✗ bot/MM pace (188 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$781 (-4%) realized −$781 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR38%break-even
Win rate66%342W / 179L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$34per market
Trades / day187.7pace
Kalshi-fit89%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$88
7 days−$308
14 days−$266
30 days−$255
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 98% −$193
other 2% −$62
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (188 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-15.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 326 -20.1% -27.7% 69% 37% -12.5%
≤30d 521 -6.6% -15.5% 66% 38% -10.8%
≤90d 521 -6.6% -15.5% 66% 38% -10.8%
all 521 -6.6% -15.5% 66% 38% -10.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover187.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.5% 38% -10.8%
10% ← realistic here -23.6% 21% -19.3%
15% -31.0% 12% -27.1%
20% -37.7% 6% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 15% · top 2 22% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
41% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +7% → late -20% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
5.6 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$5 · ×0.37 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.7 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

16d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$781
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses342 / 179
Open positions0
Markets (closed)521 / 521
History coverage16d ⚠
Avg bet$34
Trades / day187.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 521 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 17 $99 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 16 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 16 $100 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 16 $8 −$8 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 16 $8 −$8 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 16 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 16 $8 −$8 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 16 $8 −$8 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 16 $8 −$8 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 16 $9 −$9 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 16 $9 −$9 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $99 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 18h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records