Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:11:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E7
0xe7c9…51fe
other · 7 markets active 1h ago
3.5score
+$8 +25%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$9 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized+$9
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses3 / 2
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)5 / 7
History coverage2d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day4.8
Drawdown91%
Kalshi-fit43%
Chart Positions 2 History 5 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$14
7 days+$9
14 days+$9
30 days+$9
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? Yes 14¢ 12¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-18%)
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-9%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $7 +$8 +109%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $3 +$5 +152%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $8 +$4 +54%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $4 −$3 -79%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $5 −$5 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 52% +$1
sports 48% +$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 100¢ $15 49m
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 39¢ $3 10h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $7 10h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? BUY Yes 14¢ $3 10h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $4 27h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 45¢ $4 28h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 12¢ $1 28h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $4 30h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $4 30h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 2¢ $0 2d
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 38¢ $5 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)+16.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 +28.4% +16.1% 60% 60% +19.5%
≤30d 5 +28.4% +16.1% 60% 60% +19.5%
≤90d 5 +28.4% +16.1% 60% 60% +19.5%
all 5 +28.4% +16.1% 60% 60% +19.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +16.1% 60% +19.5%
10% +5.0% 60% +8.1%
15% -5.1% 60% -2.4%
20% -14.4% 60% -12.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.37 · official $3.37 (match) · 14 history records