Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T04:42:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E7 0xe7c0…7b45 crypto 60 markets active 8h ago coverage 13d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$72 (-10%) realized −$72 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -12% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR20%break-even
Win rate42%25W / 35L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$12per market
Trades / day17.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$45
7 days−$80
14 days−$84
30 days−$84
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$84
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-20.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 49 -14.5% -22.7% 37% 20% -21.6%
≤30d 60 -12.3% -20.7% 42% 20% -20.3%
≤90d 60 -12.3% -20.7% 42% 20% -20.3%
all 60 -12.3% -20.7% 42% 20% -20.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover17.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -20.7% 20% -20.3%
10% -28.3% 8% -27.9%
15% -35.2% 3% -34.9%
20% -41.5% 2% -41.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 18% · top 2 27% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -12% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
52% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -12% · $-wt -12% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -9% → late -16% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.5 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$3 · ×0.26 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.18 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

13d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$72
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses25 / 35
Open positions0
Markets (closed)60 / 60
History coverage13d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day17.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 60 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 16 $19 −$8 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 16 $12 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 16 $8 −$2 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 16 $12 −$2 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 16 $9 −$2 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 16 $15 −$8 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 16 $9 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 16 $7 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 16 $14 −$7 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 16 $7 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 16 $7 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 16 $7 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 16 $19 −$6 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 16 $21 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$3 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 16 $22 −$7 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$4 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $14 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$4 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$4 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$4 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$5 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$2 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 11 $12 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$4 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 10 $39 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 10 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 10 $16 −$2 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 10 $40 −$7 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 10 $18 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 10 $21 −$5 -24%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $0 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $7 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $7 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $7 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $7 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $4 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET SELL Down 4¢ $0 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 311 history records