Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:10:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E7
0xe7c0…24ee
sports · 360 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$2,489 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,636 · open −$147
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,183
Realized+$2,636
Unrealized−$147
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses191 / 164
Whale WR (big bets)56%
Est. fees paid−$1,454
Open positions5
Markets (closed)355 / 360
History coverage52d
Avg bet$296
Trades / day12.6
Drawdown84%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 5 History 355 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$146
7 days+$162
14 days+$364
30 days+$5,242
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? No 42¢ 56¢ $420 $555 +$135 (+32%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Under 57¢ 22¢ $570 $225 −$345 (-61%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 10¢ $204 $191 −$13 (-6%)
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals Yes 28¢ 100¢ $46 $163 +$117 (+256%)
Raphinha: 1+ goals Yes 30¢ 16¢ $90 $50 −$40 (-45%)
Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5 Under 52¢ 0¢ $260 $0 −$260 (-100%)
Athletics vs. Houston Astros Houston Astros 51¢ 0¢ $128 $0 −$128 (-100%)
Atlanta Dream vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 164.5 Over 53¢ 0¢ $132 $0 −$132 (-100%)
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals Chicago Cubs 55¢ 0¢ $275 $0 −$275 (-100%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Arizona Diamondbacks 53¢ 0¢ $132 $0 −$132 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5 Over 53¢ 0¢ $265 $0 −$265 (-100%)
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5) Los Angeles Angels 65¢ 0¢ $325 $0 −$325 (-100%)
New York Yankees vs. Athletics New York Yankees 59¢ 0¢ $295 $0 −$295 (-100%)
Spread: Winnipeg Blue Bombers (-2.5) Winnipeg Blue Bombers 50¢ 0¢ $248 $0 −$248 (-100%)
Spread: New York Liberty (-6.5) Phoenix Mercury 54¢ 0¢ $270 $0 −$270 (-100%)
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs Zizou Bergs 68¢ 0¢ $340 $0 −$340 (-100%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds Atlanta Braves 54¢ 0¢ $270 $0 −$270 (-100%)
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 165.5 Under 52¢ 0¢ $260 $0 −$260 (-100%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Arizona Diamondbacks 45¢ 0¢ $112 $0 −$112 (-100%)
Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty: O/U 174.5 Over 48¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Atlanta Dream vs. PortlandFire: O/U 162.5 Over 53¢ 0¢ $265 $0 −$265 (-100%)
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5 Under 53¢ 0¢ $265 $0 −$265 (-100%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5 Over 52¢ 0¢ $130 $0 −$130 (-100%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Under 62¢ 0¢ $620 $0 −$620 (-100%)
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 10.5 Under 75¢ 0¢ $375 $0 −$375 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $239 +$261 +109%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $318 −$315 -99%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $244 −$240 -98%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $477 +$523 +109%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $627 −$620 -99%
Toronto Argonauts vs. Montreal Alouettes: O/U 51.5 Jun 12 $250 −$250 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $140 +$160 +114%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $214 −$210 -98%
Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers: O/U 51.5 Jun 12 $217 +$172 +79%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 169.5 Jun 12 $273 +$227 +83%
Spread: Dallas Wings (-6.5) Jun 12 $253 +$247 +98%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings Jun 12 $353 +$147 +42%
Spread: Winnipeg Blue Bombers (-2.5) Jun 12 $251 −$248 -98%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $274 +$226 +83%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $219 −$215 -98%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 11 $134 +$116 +86%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 Jun 11 $254 +$246 +97%
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo Jun 11 $383 +$117 +31%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 11 $127 +$123 +97%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5 Jun 11 $132 −$130 -99%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 10 $234 −$230 -98%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 10 $142 −$140 -99%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 10 $157 −$155 -99%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 10 $134 −$132 -99%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals Jun 10 $265 +$235 +88%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 10 $107 +$143 +134%
Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx Jun 10 $162 +$88 +55%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 10 $134 +$116 +86%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $144 +$106 +73%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 10 $117 +$133 +114%
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5) Jun 10 $157 +$93 +60%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 09 $137 −$135 -99%
Atlanta Dream vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 164.5 Jun 09 $134 −$132 -99%
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-8.5) Jun 09 $129 −$128 -99%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 09 $114 −$112 -98%
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs Jun 09 $343 −$340 -99%
Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 4.5 Jun 09 $147 +$103 +70%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 09 $137 +$113 +83%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 09 $144 +$106 +73%
1H Spread: Knicks (-0.5) Jun 09 $247 +$253 +102%
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5) Jun 09 $124 +$126 +101%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 09 $134 +$116 +86%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Jun 09 $124 −$122 -98%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 09 $149 −$148 -99%
Spread: Knicks (-2.5) Jun 08 $244 −$240 -98%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 3.5 Jun 08 $121 −$120 -99%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 08 $137 −$135 -99%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5 Jun 08 $142 −$140 -99%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5 Jun 08 $248 +$227 +91%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Jun 07 $144 +$106 +73%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% +$1,862
other 1% +$708
politics 0% −$56
finance 0% +$7
economics 0% −$35
world 0% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Raphinha: 1+ goals BUY Yes 30¢ $92 1h
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals BUY Yes 28¢ $47 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 42¢ $427 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 57¢ $577 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score BUY No 63¢ $318 5h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 47¢ $239 5h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 2.5 BUY Over 48¢ $244 5h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $97 20h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 62¢ $627 23h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $477 23h
Toronto Argonauts vs. Montreal Alouettes: O/U 51.5 BUY Under 50¢ $242 24h
Toronto Argonauts vs. Montreal Alouettes: O/U 51.5 BUY Under 50¢ $8 25h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 46¢ $140 30h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 42¢ $214 30h
Spread: Winnipeg Blue Bombers (-2.5) BUY Winnipeg Blue Bombers 51¢ $162 46h
Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers: O/U 51.5 BUY Over 55¢ $217 46h
Spread: Winnipeg Blue Bombers (-2.5) BUY Winnipeg Blue Bombers 47¢ $89 46h
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 169.5 BUY Under 54¢ $244 46h
Spread: Dallas Wings (-6.5) BUY Dallas Wings 50¢ $212 46h
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 169.5 BUY Under 53¢ $30 46h
Spread: Dallas Wings (-6.5) BUY Dallas Wings 49¢ $41 46h
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings BUY Dallas Wings 70¢ $353 46h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets BUY St. Louis Cardinals 43¢ $219 2d
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins BUY Miami Marlins 54¢ $274 2d
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 53¢ $134 2d
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5 BUY Over 52¢ $132 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 46¢ $234 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 BUY Under 50¢ $254 2d
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo BUY Toronto Tempo 76¢ $383 3d
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets BUY New York Mets 56¢ $142 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-9.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 62 +0.4% -9.2% 55% 55% -8.3%
≤30d 141 +2.9% -6.9% 56% 56% +0.9%
≤90d 355 +0.5% -9.1% 54% 53% -7.3%
all 355 +0.5% -9.1% 54% 53% -7.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.1% 53% -7.3%
10% -17.8% 52% -16.1%
15% -25.7% 48% -24.2%
20% -33.0% 43% -31.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,182.99 · official $1,182.99 (match) · 955 history records