Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:19:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E7
0xe7c0…d656
other · 68 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$4,247 +12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$807 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$77
Realized−$807
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses28 / 58
Whale WR (big bets)50%
Open positions4
Markets (closed)86 / 68
History coverage15d
Avg bet$509
Trades / day224.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit0%
Chart Positions 4 History 86 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$816
7 days−$1,057
14 days−$984
30 days−$807
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? No 43¢ 42¢ $38 $37 −$0 (-1%)
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? Yes 6¢ 4¢ $20 $15 −$4 (-22%)
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 6¢ 8¢ $9 $13 +$3 (+36%)
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 16¢ 14¢ $14 $12 −$2 (-16%)
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on May 20? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $63 $0 −$63 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $112 $0 −$112 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026? No 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? No 28¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on May 24? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026? No 5¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on May 20? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? Jun 14 $15 −$12 -77%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026? Jun 14 $7 −$25 -332%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? Jun 14 $0 −$50 -163594%
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026? Jun 14 $1 −$24 -2906%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? Jun 14 $43 −$50 -117%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on May 24? Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026? Jun 14 $55 −$74 -134%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? Jun 14 $0 −$1 -531%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026? Jun 14 $12 −$32 -279%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026? Jun 14 $42 −$202 -481%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026? Jun 14 $7 −$22 -288%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026? Jun 14 $50 −$277 -554%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026? Jun 14 $4 +$14 +354%
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? Jun 14 $27 +$19 +70%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on May 21? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026? Jun 14 $0 −$2 -1853%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on May 24? Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on May 25? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? Jun 14 $21 −$21 -98%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? Jun 14 $26 +$2 +7%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? Jun 12 $15 +$4 +28%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Jun 12 $349 +$92 +26%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Jun 12 $76 −$3 -4%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Jun 12 $292 −$46 -16%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Jun 12 $131 −$9 -7%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Jun 12 $38 −$28 -75%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Jun 12 $126 +$1 +1%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Jun 12 $1 $0 +27%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Jun 12 $60 −$19 -31%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Jun 12 $10 +$5 +56%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $938 −$29 -3%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $722 −$28 -4%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $575 +$19 +3%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 11 $27 $0 -2%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Jun 11 $33 −$22 -68%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 11 $460 +$24 +5%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 10 $594 +$80 +13%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 09 $570 +$2 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $1,934 −$95 -5%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $1,717 +$13 +1%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $356 +$21 +6%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 09 $71 +$14 +20%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 09 $87 −$53 -61%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 08 $88 −$39 -44%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 08 $576 −$153 -26%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 08 $1,615 +$62 +4%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 08 $1,485 −$25 -2%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 07 $9 −$1 -8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% −$33
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? BUY No 43¢ $38 24m
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 28m
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 5¢ $2 28m
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 5¢ $3 48m
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 5¢ $4 48m
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $4 48m
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 5¢ $4 1h
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 7¢ $6 1h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 1h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $5 2h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 16¢ $14 2h
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 8¢ $0 2h
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? SELL Yes 7¢ $5 27h
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? SELL No 83¢ $28 27h
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? SELL Yes 9¢ $20 29h
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? SELL Yes 5¢ $21 29h
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? SELL Yes 9¢ $2 29h
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? SELL Yes 5¢ $1 29h
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? SELL Yes 5¢ $9 29h
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? SELL Yes 5¢ $1 29h
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? SELL Yes 4¢ $0 29h
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? SELL Yes 4¢ $5 29h
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? SELL Yes 4¢ $4 29h
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? SELL Yes 4¢ $20 29h
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? SELL No 77¢ $136 29h
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? SELL Yes 4¢ $2 29h
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? SELL No 76¢ $102 29h
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? SELL Yes 9¢ $0 29h
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? SELL No 76¢ $4 29h
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? SELL No 76¢ $4 29h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-34.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 54 -35.1% -41.2% 30% 15% -12.7%
≤30d 86 -27.6% -34.5% 33% 17% -10.0%
≤90d 86 -27.6% -34.5% 33% 17% -10.0%
all 86 -27.6% -34.5% 33% 17% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover224.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -34.5% 17% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -40.7% 12% -18.6%
15% -46.5% 7% -26.5%
20% -51.7% 6% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $77.35 · official $77.35 (match) · 3500 history records