Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:01:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E7
0xe7ba…269e
sports · 744 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$109 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$110 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$110
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses510 / 233
Est. fees paid−$75
Open positions1
Markets (closed)743 / 744
History coverage51d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day62.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 743 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$32
7 days−$21
14 days−$64
30 days−$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs Washed (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A Washed 85¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+17%)
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage NRG Academy 92¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Valorant: 555 vs Xiao Long Bao (BO3) - VCL Southeast Asia: Group A 555 97¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals Cincinnati Reds 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres St. Louis Cardinals 85¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins Chicago White Sox 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Valorant: Azure Dragon Gaming vs Division One (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Playoffs Azure Dragon Gaming 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies 88¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies San Diego Padres 75¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers 62¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays Tampa Bay Rays 75¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 74¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds Atlanta Braves 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Chinggis Warriors (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #4 Playoffs TYLOO 86¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Valorant: VARREL vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega VARREL 77¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs FURIA Esports 85¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wings Las Vegas Aces 72¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs Johnny Speeds 71¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Thunder Thunder 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 13 $3 +$1 +34%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 13 $2 +$1 +26%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $17 $0 +0%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 13 $40 +$3 +7%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Jun 13 $15 +$1 +7%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $26 +$4 +15%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $51 +$13 +26%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 13 $6 +$1 +17%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 13 $15 +$2 +12%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 13 $4 −$4 -87%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $32 +$11 +35%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $9 −$7 -82%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $11 −$6 -53%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $2 +$3 +149%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $30 +$3 +11%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $18 +$2 +11%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 12 $2 $0 -9%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $16 +$2 +12%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $3 +$2 +62%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 11 $21 −$16 -73%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $6 +$1 +18%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $27 −$10 -37%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 11 $40 +$2 +5%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $18 +$4 +22%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $1 +$1 +62%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 11 $3 $0 +11%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $22 −$22 -100%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $6 −$3 -50%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 10 $2 $0 +13%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $3 −$3 -99%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 10 $7 +$4 +62%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 10 $12 +$8 +62%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 10 $26 −$1 -5%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 10 $10 +$5 +46%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 10 $21 +$5 +23%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 10 $10 +$1 +14%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $9 +$3 +36%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 10 $9 −$3 -30%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 10 $13 −$13 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$1 +10%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 09 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $6 $0 +8%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 09 $1 +$1 +134%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 09 $3 +$7 +218%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $21 +$8 +38%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 09 $9 +$1 +8%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 09 $6 +$4 +66%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 09 $9 +$1 +9%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 09 $6 −$3 -43%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 97% −$110
crypto 1% −$6
other 1% +$9
politics 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs Washed (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group BUY Washed 85¢ $1 1h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY Chicago Cubs 79¢ $1 6h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Houston Astros 97¢ $10 6h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Houston Astros 92¢ $10 6h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 79¢ $2 6h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY Chicago Cubs 72¢ $2 6h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Houston Astros 92¢ $5 6h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Houston Astros 93¢ $10 7h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 99¢ $64 7h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Seattle Mariners 93¢ $10 7h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Houston Astros 90¢ $5 7h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Seattle Mariners 93¢ $5 7h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles SELL Baltimore Orioles 100¢ $17 8h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY Toronto Blue Jays 77¢ $5 8h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY Toronto Blue Jays 83¢ $5 8h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 94¢ $10 8h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY New York Mets 90¢ $10 8h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY Toronto Blue Jays 84¢ $1 8h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY New York Mets 90¢ $5 8h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets SELL Atlanta Braves 10¢ $0 8h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 90¢ $20 8h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 75¢ $10 8h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY Toronto Blue Jays 91¢ $5 8h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Los Angeles Dodgers 8¢ $1 8h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 73¢ $6 8h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $5 9h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Baltimore Orioles 88¢ $5 9h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY Atlanta Braves 47¢ $2 9h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY Toronto Blue Jays 93¢ $10 9h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 89¢ $4 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-13.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 88 -1.7% -11.1% 62% 45% -11.3%
≤30d 414 -1.5% -10.9% 68% 48% -9.2%
≤90d 743 -4.8% -13.8% 69% 45% -10.0%
all 743 -4.8% -13.8% 69% 45% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover62.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.8% 45% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -22.1% 22% -18.6%
15% -29.6% 11% -26.5%
20% -36.5% 7% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.17 · official $1.17 (match) · 3500 history records