Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T09:04:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E7 0xe7ba…66bc crypto 69 markets active 1h ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (64 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$13 (+4%) realized +$13 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR52%break-even
Win rate72%50W / 19L
Drawdown91%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day63.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (64 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-14.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 69 -5.8% -14.7% 72% 52% -4.1%
≤30d 69 -5.8% -14.7% 72% 52% -4.1%
≤90d 69 -5.8% -14.7% 72% 52% -4.1%
all 69 -5.8% -14.7% 72% 52% -4.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover63.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.7% 52% -4.1%
10% ← realistic here -22.9% 33% -13.3%
15% -30.4% 20% -21.7%
20% -37.2% 7% -29.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 19% · top 2 25% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +6% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
26% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt +6% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -15% → late +3% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.9 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$3 · ×0.52 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.38 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$13
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses50 / 19
Open positions0
Markets (closed)69 / 69
History coverage2d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day63.6
Drawdown91%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 69 Trades
no open positions (15 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 15 $9 +$14 +145%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$4 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 15 $9 −$2 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 15 $9 −$3 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 15 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 15 $8 +$2 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 15 $8 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$5 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$4 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$5 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$3 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$4 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $4 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $4 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $4 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 192 history records