Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:34:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E7
0xe7b6…022c
other · 6 markets active 2h ago
0.5score
−$23 -17%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$24 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$84
Realized−$24
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses2 / 3
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)5 / 6
History coverage1d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day6.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit33%
Chart Positions 1 History 5 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$24
7 days−$24
14 days−$24
30 days−$24
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 99¢ 100¢ $83 $84 +$1 (+1%)
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $3 +$1 +44%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $20 −$17 -84%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $15 +$7 +44%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 90% −$14
sports 10% −$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 99¢ $83 1h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 23¢ $5 2h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 69¢ $3 6h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 9¢ $3 6h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $20 9h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 59¢ $10 24h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $15 32h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-44.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -38.5% -44.4% 40% 40% -50.0%
≤30d 5 -38.5% -44.4% 40% 40% -50.0%
≤90d 5 -38.5% -44.4% 40% 40% -50.0%
all 5 -38.5% -44.4% 40% 40% -50.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -44.4% 40% -50.0%
10% -49.7% 40% -54.8%
15% -54.6% 40% -59.2%
20% -59.0% 0% -63.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $84.05 · official $84.05 (match) · 10 history records